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安徽省县级大雾预报业务系统
引用本文:陈晓红,方翀.安徽省县级大雾预报业务系统[J].气象,2005,31(4):61-64.
作者姓名:陈晓红  方翀
作者单位:安徽省气象台,合肥,230031
摘    要:分析安徽省多年大雾的天气气候特征和形成的天气学条件,并利用3年T106资料,经相关性检验,基于最优表征大雾形成的天气学特征的因子建立了多元回归方程,用1年T213资料进行检验,最终确定了可用于实时业务MICAPS格式的安徽省县级24h、48h和72h大雾预报的预报业务系统。

关 键 词:预报业务系统  安徽省  县级  T106资料  多元回归方程  天气学条件  相关性检验  天气学特征  天气气候  T213  实时业务  大雾预报  特征和  S格式

An Operational Forecast System of Dense Fogfor Counties in Anhui Province
Chen Xiaohong,Fang Chong.An Operational Forecast System of Dense Fogfor Counties in Anhui Province[J].Meteorological Monthly,2005,31(4):61-64.
Authors:Chen Xiaohong  Fang Chong
Abstract:Synoptic and climatic characteristics of dense fog and associated weather conditions in Anhui Province are analyzed. A multi-regression equation is developed on the basis of factors which reflect the weather features in the formation of dense fog through correlation verification by use of 3-years T106 data. An operational forecast system used to forecast 24-72 hours dense fog is eventually confirmed through the verification of one-year T213 data. Forecast results show that the forecast system is helpful for the forecast of dense fog of the stations in Anhui Province.
Keywords:dense fog  multi-regression equation    operational forecast system
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