| 热带气旋移速的预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈淑琴,黄辉,李晓丽.热带气旋移速的预报[J].气象,2002,28(2):42-45. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈淑琴 黄辉 李晓丽 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江省舟山市气象台,舟山,316004 |
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| 基金项目： | “我国重大天气灾害形成机理与预测理论研究”项目资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 主要用统计方法热带气旋本身的要素（位置、近中心最低气压、移速等）与热带气多速的相关性，用前期的中心气压、位置、移速等作为因子并热带气旋数值预报产品建立移速预报的逐步回归方程。
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| 关 键 词： | 热带气旋 移速 预报 集对分析 数值预报产品 |
Study on Forecast of Movement Speed of the Tropical Cyclone |
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| Chen Shuqin,Huang Hui,Li Xiaoli.Study on Forecast of Movement Speed of the Tropical Cyclone[J].Meteorological Monthly,2002,28(2):42-45. |
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| Authors: | Chen Shuqin Huang Hui Li Xiaoli |
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| Abstract: | Statistical methods are mainly applied to the analysis on the factors of the tropical cyclone itself, such as location, lowest pressure near center, speed of movement etc., so as to study their correlation with the speed of movement of the tropical cyclone. And with the predictors of previous central pressure, latitude,longitude,speed of movement,productions of numerical forecast of tropical cyclone and so on,stepwise regression equations are established for the speed forecast. |
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| Keywords: | speed of movement of the tropical cyclone set pair analysis productions of numerical forecast of tropical cyclone |
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