| 2010年9—11月T639、ECMWF及日本模式中期预报性能检验 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 周宁芳.2010年9—11月T639、ECMWF及日本模式中期预报性能检验[J].气象,2011,37(2):237-241. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 周宁芳 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 国家气象中心,北京,100081 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为了更好地应用T639模式的中期预报产品,本文对2010年9-11月T639模式的中期预报产品进行了天气学检验,并与ECMWF和日本模式进行了对比分析.结果表明,三家模式均对亚洲中高纬环流形势的演变和调整具有较好的预报能力,T639在144小时后预报性能减小比较明显.T639对超强台风凡亚比的路径预报偏差较大,而日本模...
|
| 关 键 词： | T639模式 中期天气预报 天气学检验 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010/12/24 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2011/1/10 0:00:00 |
Performance Verification of the Medium-Range Forecasting for T639,ECMWF and Japan Models from September to November in 2010 |
| |
| ZHOU,Ningfang.Performance Verification of the Medium-Range Forecasting for T639,ECMWF and Japan Models from September to November in 2010[J].Meteorological Monthly,2011,37(2):237-241. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHOU Ningfang |
| |
| Institution: | ZHOU Ningfang National Meteorological Center,Beijing 100081 |
| |
| Abstract: | In order to improve the ability of T639 model,the synoptic verification on its medium-range forecasting in autumn is made in comparison with ECMWF and Japan models.The results show that the three models have good performances in the aspect of predicting the large-scale circulation evolution and adjustment in the middle and high latitudes of Asian areas,but the T639 model shows a relative weak performance advanced 144 hours.The T639 model failed in forecasting the track and the JP model underestimated the in... |
| |
| Keywords: | T639 model medium-range forecasting synoptic verification |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《气象》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《气象》下载免费的PDF全文 |
|
