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近60a来洞庭湖区气温的变化特征
引用本文:黄菊梅,邹用昌,蔡海朝,覃鸿,喻宇.近60a来洞庭湖区气温的变化特征[J].气象科学,2013,33(4):457-463.
作者姓名:黄菊梅  邹用昌  蔡海朝  覃鸿  喻宇
作者单位:1. 洞庭湖气候中心,湖南岳阳 414000;岳阳市气象局,湖南岳阳 410400
2. 岳阳市气象局,湖南岳阳,410400
3. 娄底市气象局,湖南娄底,417000
4. 湘阴县气象局,湖南湘阴,414600
基金项目:中国气象局气候变化专项资金资助项目,湖南省气象局重点课题
摘    要:以洞庭湖区24个气象站1952-2010年的平均气温资料为基础,利用气候倾向率、Mann-Kendall突变检验法和小波分析等方法,分析了洞庭湖区的气温变化特征.结果表明:洞庭湖区年平均、冬季、春季和秋季气温均呈显著上升趋势,增温速率尤以冬季和春季为甚.除夏季外,年平均和其他各季气温在1990s,先后发生增温性突变.高温日数呈上升趋势,但显著性不明显,低温日数下降趋势非常显著.除夏季外,年平均和各季异常冷年,基本出现在1950s至1970s,异常暖年,均出现在1998年以后.除夏季外,各季气温均存在准9a周期.

关 键 词:气温  变化特征  气候倾向率
收稿时间:2/4/2012 12:00:00 AM
修稿时间:5/3/2012 12:00:00 AM

Change characteristics of the air temperature during the past 60 a over Dongting Lake area
HUANG Jumei,ZOU Yongchang,CAI Haichao,QIN Hong and YU Yu.Change characteristics of the air temperature during the past 60 a over Dongting Lake area[J].Scientia Meteorologica Sinica,2013,33(4):457-463.
Authors:HUANG Jumei  ZOU Yongchang  CAI Haichao  QIN Hong and YU Yu
Institution:Dongting Lake Climate Center, Hunan Yueyang 414000, China;Yueyang Meteorologieal Bureau, Hunan Yueyang 410400, China;Yueyang Meteorologieal Bureau, Hunan Yueyang 410400, China;Loudi Meteorological Bureau, Hunan Loudi 417000, China;Dongting Lake Climate Center, Hunan Yueyang 414000, China;Yueyang Meteorologieal Bureau, Hunan Yueyang 410400, China;Xiangyin Meteorologieal Bureau, Hunan Xiangyin 414600, China
Abstract:Based on average temperature data from 24 weather stations in Dongting Lake area from 1952 to 2010, the methods of climatic tendency, Mann-Kendall jump test and wavelet analysis are used to analyze the temperature change characteristics of Dongting Lake area. The results show that the temperatures of average annual, winter, spring and autumn in Dongting Lake area tend to go up; winter and spring warming rates are remarkable. Except summer, the average annual temperature and temperatures in other seasons in 1990s have warming mutation. High temperature days show ascendant trend, but the significance is not apparent; low temperature days go down significantly. Except summer, temperatures in the annual cold anomaly years of average and each season occur from 1950s to 1970s, while the warm anomaly years appear later in 1998. In addition to the summer, the temperature in each season follows nearly 9 a cycle.
Keywords:Temperature  Variation characteristics  Climatic tendency
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