首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      

近50a中国降水格点数据集的建立及质量评估
引用本文:赵煜飞,朱江,许艳.近50a中国降水格点数据集的建立及质量评估[J].气象科学,2014,34(4):414-420.
作者姓名:赵煜飞  朱江  许艳
作者单位:国家气象信息中心, 北京 100081;国家气象信息中心, 北京 100081;国家气象信息中心, 北京 100081
基金项目:国家气象信息中心青年基金
摘    要:基于2012年6月更新的高质量2 400个台站降水资料,采用薄盘样条法,制定了采用3个自变量(经度、纬度、海拔高度)、降水量开平方预处理、3次样条的插值方案,并引入数字高程资料,以减弱中国独特地形条件下高程对降水空间插值精度的影响,并对1961—2010年中国区域地面降水站点资料进行了空间内插,得到了中国地面降水0.5°×0.5°格点数据集。经数据集的质量评估结果表明:分析值与站点观测值均方根误差平均为0.49 mm,相关系数平均达0.93(通过0.01的显著性检验),夏季插值误差高于冬季,东南地区误差普遍高于其他地区。冬、春、夏、秋季绝大多数台站绝对误差在±10 mm/月以内。冬、春、夏、秋季分别有60%、82%、54%、77%的台站相对误差在±10%之间。插值后的格点化降水资料能够比较细致、准确地描述中国大陆年平均降水场的东南多、西北少的主要空间特征,但也平滑掉了范围很小的降水极值中心。台站分布越密集的地方,插值效果越好,并且最近距离小于40 km的台站插值精度较高,大于40 km插值精度衰减较快。

关 键 词:降水  空间内插  格点数据集  质量评估
收稿时间:2012/11/20 0:00:00
修稿时间:2013/2/19 0:00:00

Establishment and assessment of the grid precipitation datasets in China for recent 50 years
ZHAO Yufei,ZHU Jiang and XU Yan.Establishment and assessment of the grid precipitation datasets in China for recent 50 years[J].Scientia Meteorologica Sinica,2014,34(4):414-420.
Authors:ZHAO Yufei  ZHU Jiang and XU Yan
Institution:National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China;National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China;National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China
Abstract:Based on the high-quality precipitation data from 2 400 stations over China through the ANUSPLIN software developed by Australian National University with thin plate smooth spline method, an interpolation scheme adopting three variables(longitude, latitude, altitude), precipitation square pretreatment and three times spline was setup, then the digital altimetric data was introduced in order to weaken the effects of elevation on interpolation precision of precipitation square under the condition of Chinese special landscape, finally the datasets of daily and monthly 0.5°×0.5° grid-based precipitation over China from 1961 to 2010 are established by interpolating the precipitation data. Cross-validation tests show that this gauge-based analysis has high quantitative quality with annual interpolation error typically less than 0.49 mm and the relation coefficient amounting to 0.93; monthly error has periodic and regional variation, which shows the biggest value is in summer while the smallest one is in winter, one and the east and west have bigger error value than that of other areas. The mean bias error of the most gauges is between -10mm/month and 10mm/month.The relative bias error of 60%, 82%, 54% and 77% gauges are between -10% and 10%.This kind of datasets is helpful to explore the spatial and temporal distributions of the precipitation, but it still ignores narrow-range rainfall extreme centers. It can be used widely, including weather/climate monitoring, climate analysis, numerical model verifications, ecological assessment, and hydrological studies.
Keywords:Precipitation  Spatial interpolation  Grid datasets  Assessment
本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录!
点击此处可从《气象科学》浏览原始摘要信息
点击此处可从《气象科学》下载免费的PDF全文
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号