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| SOI和El Nino与湘潭汛期洪涝的关系 | |
| 引用本文： | 戈忠恕,周传喜,周本贵,林明丽.SOI和El Nino与湘潭汛期洪涝的关系[J].广东气象,2001(2):16-18. |
| 作者姓名： | 戈忠恕 周传喜 周本贵 林明丽 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 湘潭市气象局, 2. 湖南省气象局, 3. 韶山市气象局, |
| 摘 要： | 本文研究了湘潭汛期（4～9月）洪涝与南方涛动指数（SOI）和厄尔尼诺（ElNino）事件的遥相关联系。结果表明，南方涛动指数异常偏负（弱）以及厄尔尼诺事件的滞后影响对湘潭汛期洪涝的短期气候预报有很好的指示性。在统计分析的基础上，我们建立了日常业务应用的湘潭汛期洪涝预报物理模型。 |
| 关 键 词： | SOI El Nino 汛期洪涝预报模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-6190(2001)02-0016-03 |
The Relationship between Southern Oscillation Index(SOI), El Nino and Flooding at Xiangtan Flood Period |
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| Ge Zhongshu,Zhou Chuanxi,Zhou Bengui,Lin Mingli.The Relationship between Southern Oscillation Index(SOI), El Nino and Flooding at Xiangtan Flood Period[J].Journal of Guangdong Meteorology,2001(2):16-18. | |
| Authors: | Ge Zhongshu Zhou Chuanxi Zhou Bengui Lin Mingli |
| Abstract: | The telecomection between flooding in Xiangtan in period of Apr～Sep and SOI,El Nino was studied. The results showed that,anomalously small(weak) SOI and the lag effect of El Nino are good indications to the short-term climate prediction of Xiangtan flooding in flood period.On the basis of statistical analysis, we established a physical model for operational flooding prediction in the flood period in Xiangtan. |
| Keywords: | SOI El Nino Flooding at Flood Period Prediction Model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |