| 城乡火险预报模式探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 毛贤敏,刘桂芬.城乡火险预报模式探讨[J].应用气象学报,1996,7(1):76-81. |
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| 作者姓名： | 毛贤敏 刘桂芬 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.沈阳中心气象台 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章探讨了建立火险预报模式的必要性和可行性，分析了1981～1990年辽宁省火灾次数与风速、月降水量和相对湿度的关系。并从概念模式出发，讨论了与火险有关的逐因子，建立了定量的火险预报模式，试用效果较好。
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| 关 键 词： | 城乡火险 定量 预报模式 |
A Study of Urban and Country Fire Forecasting Model |
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| Mao Xianmin,Liu Guifeng,Liu Sujie.A Study of Urban and Country Fire Forecasting Model[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,1996,7(1):76-81. |
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| Authors: | Mao Xianmin Liu Guifeng Liu Sujie |
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| Institution: | 1.(Shenyang Central Observatory, Shenyang 110015) |
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| Abstract: | The necessity and feasibility of developing a fire forecasting model are studied at first. Then, the relationship between the fire occurrences and wind velocity, monthly precipitation and relative humidity in Liaoning Province during 1981-1990 is analyzed.From conceptual model, the factors related to fires are investigated. Finally, the quantitative fire forecasting model is developed. The forecasting results are satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | Urban and country fires Quantity Forecasting model |
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