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消化性溃疡病的医学气象研究
引用本文:杨贤为,鞠笑生,王有民,邹旭恺,于中麟,王海寅.消化性溃疡病的医学气象研究[J].应用气象学报,1998,9(3):329-335.
作者姓名:杨贤为  鞠笑生  王有民  邹旭恺  于中麟  王海寅
作者单位:1.国家气候中心,北京友谊医院
摘    要:根据1984~1993年北京友谊医院的病例资料和北京地区同期气象资料的对比分析,揭示了消化性溃疡病检出率的季节变化规律和年际变化特点以及不同季节该病症高发过程的气象条件,并在此基础上应用最优子集回归法设计了对冬、秋、夏各季检出率具有预测意义的数学模型。

关 键 词:消化性溃疡    检出率    气象因子    最优子集回归

The Medical Meteorological Research on Digestive Ulcer
Institution:1) (National Climate Center, Beijing 100081); 2) (Beijing Youyi Hospital, Beijing 100050)
Abstract:By contrasting the data of the digestive ulcer cases from 1984 to 1993 with the corresponding meteorological data in Beijing area, the seasonal and annual variations of detective rate of the cases are revealed. The meteorological conditions in which this illness occurs more frequently for different seasons are also discussed. On this basis, the predictive models of detective rate of digestive ulcer cases for winter, autumn and summer are designed by using the optimal subset regression method.
Keywords:Digestive ulcer  Detective rate  Meteorological factor  Optimal subset regression
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