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| CAPPS在国家气象中心多城市污染指数数值预报业务系统中的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 朱蓉,徐大海,周朝东,张跃堂,周春红,况石.CAPPS在国家气象中心多城市污染指数数值预报业务系统中的应用[J].应用气象学报,2002,13(Z1):204-213. |
| 作者姓名： | 朱蓉 徐大海 周朝东 张跃堂 周春红 况石 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中国气象科学研究院,北京,100081 2. 中国气象局预测减灾司,北京 100081 3. 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 基金项目： | 本文得到《国家重点基础研究发展规划》项目:首都北京及周边地区大气、水、土环境污染机理与调控原理(项目编号:G1999045700)资助. |
| 摘 要： | 国家气象中心在中国气象科学研究院CAPPS系统的基础上,建立了多城市污染指数数值预报业务系统,同时预报47个重点城市的SO2、NO2和PM10的日均污染指数.从2001年6月21日至7月17日的试验预报表明,总体预报准确率和与监测值的相关都在60%以上,与各城市气象局、环境保护局联合发布的综合预报准确率和与监测值的相关比较接近.说明CAPPS用于国家气象中心多城市污染指数数值预报业务系统,能够为城市空气质量业务预报提供有参考价值的数值预报产品. |
| 关 键 词： | CAPPS 污染指数 数值预报 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年8月2日 |
APPLICATION OF CAPPS IN THE NUMERICAL PREDICTION OPERATIONAL SYSTEM OF MULTI-CITY AIR POLLUTION INDEX |
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| Zhu Rong,Xu,Dahai.APPLICATION OF CAPPS IN THE NUMERICAL PREDICTION OPERATIONAL SYSTEM OF MULTI-CITY AIR POLLUTION INDEX[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2002,13(Z1):204-213. | |
| Authors: | Zhu Rong Xu Dahai |
| Abstract: | Based on CAPPS (City Air Pollution Numerical Prediction System) built by the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, the Multi city Numerical Prediction Operational System of Air Pollution Index, which is used to forecast the daily mean Air Pollution Indexes (API) of SO 2, NO 2 and PM 10 in 47 cities at the same time, is set up in National Meteorological Center (NMC). The results of the operational test running show that both the forecast accuracies and the correlation coefficients between predicted and observed API are above 60%, which is close to those issued by provincial level meteorological bureaus and environment protection bureaus. It is proved that the Multi city Numerical Prediction Operational System of Air Pollution Index based on CAPPS can provide useful numerical prediction products for air pollution operational prediction for cities. |
| Keywords: | CAPPS Air pollution index Numerical prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |