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湖南省2001年夏秋季对流云降水潜力数值模拟结果
引用本文:熊华南,张国君,周益辉.湖南省2001年夏秋季对流云降水潜力数值模拟结果[J].应用气象学报,2003,14(Z1):110-117.
作者姓名:熊华南  张国君  周益辉
作者单位:熊华南(湖南省气象科学研究所,长沙,410007)       张国君(湖南省气象科学研究所,长沙,410007)       周益辉(湖南省人工影响天气办公室,长沙,410007)
基金项目:本研究由国家重点科技攻关项目(96-908-07)、(2001BA610A-06-01)共同资助.
摘    要:应用对流云数值模式模拟了2001年7~9月湖南省三个探空站0000和1200(世界时)462个对流云降水算例.模拟结果表明(1)其中53天的198个算例属于有利人工增雨的天气形势,133个算例的可播度大于零,54个算例的增雨率大于零;(2)7~9月天气形势有利于人工增雨日的算例,对流云平均含水量为575万吨,平均降水效率11.4%;(3)8月降水潜力大于7月,9月降水潜力最小.这表明即使大旱的2001年湖南省夏秋季对流云仍然有一定的增雨潜力.

关 键 词:数值模拟  对流云  降水  人工增雨
修稿时间:2002年7月8日

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL OF CONVECTIVE CLOUDS IN SUMMER AND AUTUMN IN HUNAN PROVINCE 2001
Xiong Huanan,Zhang Guojun,Zhou Yihui.NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL OF CONVECTIVE CLOUDS IN SUMMER AND AUTUMN IN HUNAN PROVINCE 2001[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2003,14(Z1):110-117.
Authors:Xiong Huanan  Zhang Guojun  Zhou Yihui
Institution:Xiong Huanan 1) Zhang Guojun 1) Zhou Yihui 2) 1)
Abstract:Simulation is conducted on 462 examples of convective cloud precipitation with the radiosonde data from three radiosonde stations in Hunan Province at 00: 00 and 12:00 UCT during July, August and September in 2001. The results indicate: (1) There are 198 examples in 53 days belong to favorable weather pattern, 133 examples with the potential seedability index being more than zero, and 54 examples with the rate of rain enhancement being more than zero. (2) The cases in which the average water content of convective clouds is 5750 kiloton and the average precipitation efficiency is 11.4% are favorable for rain enhancement. (3) The precipitation potential is greater in August than that in July and the least in September. Even though severe drought occurred in July, August and September in 2001, the rain enhancement is also possible.
Keywords:Numerical simulation  Modification weather  Convection cloud  Precipitation
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