Validation of precipitation events in a regional climate model simulation using methods from complex systems theory |
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| Authors: | V Pelino A Matera T Colombo F Giorgi |
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| Institution: | (1) Italian Air Force, CNMCA, P. Di Mare, Italy;(2) Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy |
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| Abstract: | Summary We show that daily precipitation is characterized by a behaviour regulated by power laws. Both for the frequency distribution
of both event intensity and drought duration. In this respect, precipitation appears to follow self-organized criticality
laws, much as other geophysical phenomena such as avalanches and earthquakes. We use this feature to validate the simulation
of daily precipitation events in a multi-decadal regional climate model experiment for the European region. Our focus is on
the Italian peninsula and we show that both the model results and the station observations for daily precipitation intensity
and drought length follow power laws with comparable values of the relevant parameters. We suggest that complex systems theory
can provide useful tools for the validation of precipitation statistics in climate models. |
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