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夏季降水概率预报系统的试验研究
引用本文:柴凤岐,王正旺,杨万昌,杨建民,刘洁.夏季降水概率预报系统的试验研究[J].山西气象,2002(1):4-7.
作者姓名:柴凤岐  王正旺  杨万昌  杨建民  刘洁
作者单位:长治市气象局 山西长治046000 (柴凤岐,王正旺,杨万昌,杨建民),长治市气象局 山西长治046000(刘洁)
摘    要:降水概率天气预报的最大优点能够有效的发挥天气预报的潜在经济效益。我们根据山西省长治市的气候区划,将长治市的13个县区分为3片,应用T106资料,并通过对T106资料以及3片的实时资料制作0,1化处理,分别建立了3片的夏季(6月-8月)降水概率预报方程,并将整个系统挂接于MICAPS系统下。计算快捷,图文并茂,准确率较高。

关 键 词:夏季  降水概率  降水预报  T106资料  概率大气预报
文章编号:1004-5732(2002)01-0005-03
修稿时间:2002年1月10日

The experimental study of summer precipitation probability forecast system
Chai Fengqi,Wang Zhengwang,Yang Wanchang,Yang Jianmin,Liu Jie.The experimental study of summer precipitation probability forecast system[J].Shanxi Meteorological Quarterly,2002(1):4-7.
Authors:Chai Fengqi  Wang Zhengwang  Yang Wanchang  Yang Jianmin  Liu Jie
Abstract:The biggest merit of the precipitation probability weather forecast is it can effectively display the latent economic benefit of weather forecast. According to the climatic regionalization of Changzhi city, we separate its 13 counties into 3 areas,and establish precipitation probability forecast equation of the 3 areas separately(from June to August)by making 0, 1 processing to the T106 data as well as real-time data of the 3 areas. This system can be connected to MICAPS, it calculates fast, abundantly, its accurate rate is high.
Keywords:summer  precipitation probability  forecast
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