| 夏秋连旱转好雨天气分析预报系统研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张临平,张素云,王巧霞,秦爱民,李增朋.夏秋连旱转好雨天气分析预报系统研究[J].山西气象,2002(1):17-20,28. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张临平 张素云 王巧霞 秦爱民 李增朋 |
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| 作者单位： | 山西临汾市气象局 山西临汾041000
(张临平，张素云，王巧霞，秦爱民)，山西临汾市气象局 山西临汾041000(李增朋) |
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| 摘 要： | 该系统与Micaps工作平台设置接口，利用新技术所提供的各种图表工具和信息，对数值预报（NWP）形势场进行逐日反查分析比较，归纳出一些与临汾地区出现好雨相关好的形势场。对这些（NWP）形势场与08时实时资料形势场对应分析，确定高空环流型、低层影响系统及各层预报指标；分析各层物理量场分布特征、卫星云图的不同种类云系结构演变规律等建立模型。系统投入业务运行以来效果良好，提高了转折性天气预报准确率。
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| 关 键 词： | 天气分析预报系统 夏季 秋季 干旱 降水 数值预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-5732(2002)01-0017-04 |
The study of analysis & forecast system to the weather process from continually summer- autumn drought to a nice rain |
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| Zhang Linping,Zhang Suyun,Wang Qiaoxia,Qin Aimin,Li Zengping.The study of analysis & forecast system to the weather process from continually summer- autumn drought to a nice rain[J].Shanxi Meteorological Quarterly,2002(1):17-20,28. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Linping Zhang Suyun Wang Qiaoxia Qin Aimin Li Zengping |
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| Abstract: | This system connects with MICAPS work platform,makes daily reversal check, analysis and compare to the situation field of numerical forecasting (NWP) by using various graph tools and information provided by the new technology,induces some situation fields which are better related to nice rain in Linfen area. We according analyze the situation field (NWP) with 08 o'clock real-time data situations field, definite the upper air circulation and the forecast index of each layer, establish model based on the characters of each physical variant field distribution and the evolution rule of the cloud structure on satellite cloud chart. This system runs effectively in operational work,enhance the accurate rate of weather forecast. |
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| Keywords: | nice rain analysis forecast |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
