| “一带一路”区域气候变化事实、影响及可能风险 |
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| 引用本文： | 王会军,唐国利,陈海山,吴绍洪,效存德,姜大膀,周波涛,孙建奇,段明铿,徐影,罗勇,杨晓光,王凡,康世昌,王毅,高清竹,左军成,张元明,魏伟,郑景云,王国庆,高学杰,李宁,刘传玉,曾晓东,鲍艳松,张弛,曾刚,孙博,黄艳艳,施宁,尹志聪,张杰,俞淼,陈活泼,祝亚丽,马洁华,燕青,郭东林,张颖,高雅,吴通华,刘慧,谭显春,尹云鹤,于仁成,黄海军,许艳,刘娜,战云键,任玉玉.“一带一路”区域气候变化事实、影响及可能风险[J].大气科学学报,2020,43(1):1-9. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王会军 唐国利 陈海山 吴绍洪 效存德 姜大膀 周波涛 孙建奇 段明铿 徐影 罗勇 杨晓光 王凡 康世昌 王毅 高清竹 左军成 张元明 魏伟 郑景云 王国庆 高学杰 李宁 刘传玉 曾晓东 鲍艳松 张弛 曾刚 孙博 黄艳艳 施宁 尹志聪 张杰 俞淼 陈活泼 祝亚丽 马洁华 燕青 郭东林 张颖 高雅 吴通华 刘慧 谭显春 尹云鹤 于仁成 黄海军 许艳 刘娜 战云键 任玉玉 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京信息工程大学,江苏南京210044;国家气象信息中心,北京100046;中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101;北京师范大学,北京100875;中国科学院大气物理研究所,北京100029;国家气候中心,北京100046;清华大学,北京100084;中国农业大学,北京100091;中国科学院海洋研究所,山东青岛266071;中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,甘肃兰州730000;中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京100190;中国农业科学院,北京100081;浙江海洋大学,浙江舟山316022;中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐830011;中国科学院上海高等研究院,上海201210;南京水利科学研究院,江苏南京210029;10中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,甘肃兰州730000;11中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京100190 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院学部咨询评议项目（2017DX010B-023） |
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| 摘 要： | “一带一路”区域国家经济、政治发展极不平衡,随着全球气候变暖,区域内的自然环境、气候资源、水资源等都将面临着显著而复杂的变化,并且干旱、洪涝等多种气候灾害是“一带一路”区域可持续发展和重大基础设施建设面临的重大威胁之一。目前,“一带一路”倡议已经进入实质性建设阶段,沿线地区的气候变化及其灾害风险关乎“一带一路”倡议能否顺利实施及亚投行的投资安全。在此背景下,2016—2018年中国科学院地球科学学部实施了“‘一带一路’区域气候变化问题”咨询评议项目,项目针对该区域气候变化的事实、未来变化预估、气候变化的可能影响以及带来的潜在风险等问题进行了系统的调研,并开展了若干分析和研究。经过两年的努力,项目组完成了有关进展报告四份,包括一份总报告和三份分报告。本文扼要地概括和介绍了项目取得的主要成果。
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| 关 键 词： | 一带一路 气候变化 预估 灾害 风险 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019/11/10 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2019/11/25 0:00:00 |
The Belt and Road region climate change: facts,impacts and possible risks |
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| WANG Huijun,TANG Guoli,CHEN Hanshan,WU Shaohong,XIAO Cunde,JIANG Dabang,ZHOU Botao,SUN Jianqi,DUAN Mingkeng,XU Ying,LUO Yong,YANG Xiaoguang,WANG Fan,KANG Shichang,WANG Yi,GAO Qingzhu,ZUO Juncheng,ZHANG Yuanming,WEI Wei,ZHENG Jingyun,WANG Guoqing,GAO Xuejie,LI Ning,LIU Chuanyu,ZENG Xiaodong,BAO Yansong,ZHANG Chi,ZENG Gang,SUN Bo,HUANG Yanyan,SHI Ning,YIN Zhicong,ZHANG Jie,YU Miao,CHEN Huopo,ZHU Yali,MA Jiehua,YAN Qing,GUO Donglin,ZHANG Ying,GAO Ya,WU Tonghua,LIU Hui,TAN Xianchun,YIN Yunhe,YU Rencheng,HUANG Haijun,XU Yan,LIU Na,ZHAN YUNjian,REN Yuyu.The Belt and Road region climate change: facts,impacts and possible risks[J].大气科学学报,2020,43(1):1-9. |
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| Authors: | WANG Huijun TANG Guoli CHEN Hanshan WU Shaohong XIAO Cunde JIANG Dabang ZHOU Botao SUN Jianqi DUAN Mingkeng XU Ying LUO Yong YANG Xiaoguang WANG Fan KANG Shichang WANG Yi GAO Qingzhu ZUO Juncheng ZHANG Yuanming WEI Wei ZHENG Jingyun WANG Guoqing GAO Xuejie LI Ning LIU Chuanyu ZENG Xiaodong BAO Yansong ZHANG Chi ZENG Gang SUN Bo HUANG Yanyan SHI Ning YIN Zhicong ZHANG Jie YU Miao CHEN Huopo ZHU Yali MA Jiehua YAN Qing GUO Donglin ZHANG Ying GAO Ya WU Tonghua LIU Hui TAN Xianchun YIN Yunhe YU Rencheng HUANG Haijun XU Yan LIU Na ZHAN YUNjian REN Yuyu |
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| Institution: | Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,National Meteorological Information Center, Beijing 100046, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China,Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,National Climate Center, Beijing 100046, China,Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China,China Agricultural University, Beijing 100091, China,Institute of Oceanography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China,Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China,Institute of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China,Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan 316022, China,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China,Shanghai Advanced Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai 201210, China,Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China,Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China,Institute of Oceanography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China,Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China,Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China,Institute of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China,Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China,Institute of Oceanography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China,Institute of Oceanography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China,National Meteorological Information Center, Beijing 100046, China,National Meteorological Information Center, Beijing 100046, China,National Meteorological Information Center, Beijing 100046, China and National Meteorological Information Center, Beijing 100046, China |
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| Abstract: | The economic and political development of countries in the Belt and Road region is extremely uneven.Along with the progression of global warming,the natural environment,ecological environment,climate resources and water resources throughout the region will face new pressure brought by such significant changes.Moreover,drought,flood and other climate disasters are major threats to the sustainable development and major infrastructure construction in the Belt and Road region.At present,the Belt and Road Initiative has entered the substantive construction stage.Climate change and disaster risks occurring along the routes are related to the smooth implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative and investment security of the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB).In this context,the Department of Geosciences of the Chinese Academy of Sciences implemented the "Belt and Road region climate change issues" consultation project from June 2016 to June 2018.As part of the project systematic research was conducted on the facts of climate change throughout the region,as well as the prediction of future change,the possible impacts of climate change,and the potential risks brought on by climate change.Throughout this period,a number of analyses and studies have been carried out.After two years of implementation,the project team has completed four progress reports,including one general report and three sub-reports.The present paper briefly summarizes and introduces these achievements. |
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| Keywords: | The Belt and Road climate change projection disaster risk |
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