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Multi-year simulation of the East Asian Monsoon and Precipitation in China using a Regional Climate Model and Evaluation
作者姓名:LI Qiaoping  DING Yihui
作者单位:Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100029National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,Beijing 100081
基金项目:Supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China Project under Grant 2001BA611B-01 and the State KeyDevelopment Program for Basic Research (2006CB400503).
摘    要:1. Introduction As an important way to study the global climate change, because of its low resolution, GCM (general circulation model) shows obvious deficiency and uncer- tainty in capturing some regional features when used in the regional climate study, and the uncertainty is even serious in regional climate simulation over East Asia (Ding et al., 2000; Zhao and Luo, 1998; Qian et al., 1999). The high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM) developed in the 1980s can provide better simu…

收稿时间:2005/5/10 0:00:00

Multi-year simulation of the East Asian Monsoon and Precipitation in China using a Regional Climate Model and Evaluation
LI Qiaoping,DING Yihui.Multi-year simulation of the East Asian Monsoon and Precipitation in China using a Regional Climate Model and Evaluation[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2005,19(3):302-316.
Authors:LI Qiaoping DING Yihui
Institution:Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029;National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081 National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081
Abstract:By using the regional climate model (RegCM_NCC), East Asian monsoon and precipitation over China during 1998 to 2002 are simulated. Results show that the model can well reproduce the seasonal patterns of mean circulation as well as the intensity and seasonal march of the East Asian monsoon. The simulated onset or retreat time of the West Pacific subtropical high, and the intensity and location of the South Asian high are consistent with the fact. The spatial distribution and transport of moisture in lower layer are also well simulated. The seasonal variations of regional rainfall and temperature are reproduced in the model, with three northward shift time and intensity of the rain belts over the sub-regions (such as Mid-Lower Yangtze basins and South China) well corresponding to the observation. However, the simulated summer monsoon is stronger compared with NCEP reanalysis fields, with the location of subtropical high being further north by 2-3 degrees than normal. Error evaluation shows that there is a discernible systematic bias in the simulated mean circulation pattern, with air temperature bias being positive over the land and negative over the ocean in the lower troposphere in summer. The systematic bias exaggerates the summer temperature difference between the land and ocean, which may be a main responsible factor for the stronger simulated summer monsoon, thus resulting in the overestimated rainfall in North China and it can not reflect well the abnormal rainfall distribution in these 5 years. The deficiency may be mainly contributed to the complex topography and cloud-radiation parameterization scheme. The analyses also indicate that it is difficult to simulate the persistent abnormal precipitation pattern over China. It is necessary to improve the model's capability further.
Keywords:regional climate model  climate simulation  evaluation
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