| 降雨年际气候变化的非线性动力统计模拟预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 严华生,曹杰,谢应齐,季崇萍,郭世昌.降雨年际气候变化的非线性动力统计模拟预测[J].气象学报,1999,57(4):502-508. |
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| 作者姓名： | 严华生 曹杰 谢应齐 季崇萍 郭世昌 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南大学地球科学系!昆明，650091，云南大学地球科学系!昆明，650091，云南大学地球科学系!昆明，650091，云南大学地球科学系!昆明，650091，云南大学地球科学系!昆明，650091 |
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| 摘 要： | 文中应用非线性动力统计方法来模拟降水年际气候变化。经过对中国４２ 个测点近百年降雨变化的模拟预测检验，取得了较好的效果，并得出了一些有意义的结论。关键词：非线性，动力统计，模拟预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 非线性 动力统计 模拟预测 |
| 收稿时间： | 7/9/1997 12:00:00 AM |
| 修稿时间： | 1998/5/12 0:00:00 |
NONLINEAR DYNAMICAL/STATISTICAL SIMULATION AND PREDICTION OF INTERANNUAL CLIMATIC EVOLUTION IN RAINFALL |
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| Yan Huasheng,Cao Jie,Xie Yingqi,Ji Chongping.NONLINEAR DYNAMICAL/STATISTICAL SIMULATION AND PREDICTION OF INTERANNUAL CLIMATIC EVOLUTION IN RAINFALL[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,1999,57(4):502-508. |
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| Authors: | Yan Huasheng Cao Jie Xie Yingqi Ji Chongping |
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| Abstract: | The interannual evolution of rainfall was simulated with nonlinear dynamical/statistical method.After successfully simulating and predicting the interannual evolution of rainfall with the data of 42 observatories in China in last 100 years,some significant conclusions are obtained. |
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| Keywords: | Reinforced cylindrical curved plate nonlinear Rayleigh damping vertical seismic response dynamic stability |
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