| 鹤壁市地质灾害预报预警系统 |
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| 引用本文： | 靳冰凌,周官辉,郭魁英,孙日丁,牛红伟,芦阿咪.鹤壁市地质灾害预报预警系统[J].河南气象,2005(2):23-24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 靳冰凌 周官辉 郭魁英 孙日丁 牛红伟 芦阿咪 |
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| 作者单位： | 鹤壁市气象局 河南鹤壁458030
(靳冰凌，周官辉，郭魁英，孙日丁，牛红伟)，鹤壁市气象局 河南鹤壁458030(芦阿咪) |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了鹤壁市地质灾害时空分布特征及造成地质灾害的天气条件，采用5日滚动累加法，判定地质灾害降水类型，提出当日强降水型和前期强降水型与鹤壁市地质灾害的关系；集本地人工神经网络降水量预报和上级指导产品做诱发地质灾害的短期降水预报，并利用卫星云图、雷达、闪电定位仪等探测手段建立鹤壁市地质灾害预报预警系统。
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| 关 键 词： | 地质灾害预报 预警系统 鹤壁市 时空分布特征 人工神经网络 降水量预报 闪电定位仪 天气条件 降水类型 降水预报 卫星云图 降水型 累加法 |
Forecast and Early Warning System of Geological Disaster in Hebi |
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| JIN Bing-ling,ZHOU Guan-hui,GUO Kui-ying,SUN Ri-ding,NIU Hong-wei,LU A-mi.Forecast and Early Warning System of Geological Disaster in Hebi[J].Meteorology Journal of Henan,2005(2):23-24. |
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| Authors: | JIN Bing-ling ZHOU Guan-hui GUO Kui-ying SUN Ri-ding NIU Hong-wei LU A-mi |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes the space-time distribution characters of geological disaster and its weather conditions in Hebi, and in terms of 5-day-roll-accumulation method, we determine the patterns of precipitation, and propose the relationship between geological disaster and heavy precipitation patterns; based on the local artificial nerve network precipitation forecast and superior directive product shot-time precipitation forecast that induces geological disaster is developed. And by using satellite cloud pictures, radar and lightning direction finder, forecast and early warning system of geological disaster is established in Hebi. |
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| Keywords: | Geological disaster Space-time distribution Precipitation forecast Forecast and early warning system |
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