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MM5模式及CALMET模型对甘肃酒泉地区风能资源的数值模拟
引用本文:王兴,马鹏里,张铁军,周荣卫.MM5模式及CALMET模型对甘肃酒泉地区风能资源的数值模拟[J].高原气象,2012,31(2):428-435.
作者姓名:王兴  马鹏里  张铁军  周荣卫
作者单位:1. 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所/甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室/中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室,甘肃兰州730020/西北区域气候中心,甘肃兰州730020
2. 西北区域气候中心,甘肃兰州,730020
3. 兰州中心气象台,甘肃兰州,730020
4. 国家气候中心,北京,100081
基金项目:中国气象局甘肃省风能资源详查与评价数值模拟专项项目资助
摘    要:利用NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料,采用中尺度模式MM5及诊断风场模型CALMET,对2009年6月—2010年5月甘肃省酒泉地区风能资源进行了数值模拟研究。结果表明,远离山体且地势平坦的地区,模拟的风速与实测风速的误差较小,地形复杂的地区误差偏大。用于对比的10座风塔中有7座在70m高度处的相对误差基本在10%以内,3座相对误差稍大但都在20%以内。风速和风功率密度的季节变化在春季最大,冬、秋季次之,夏季最小。这种季节变化与地形地势及所受的天气系统有密切联系。在酒泉地区随着高度的增加,风速逐渐加大;在河西走廊西端和酒泉北部等海拔较低的地区风速随高度增加的趋势尤为明显。通过对模拟年度风速误差的分析,得到模拟年度在酒泉地区属于大风年,若分析酒泉地区多年平均风况,还需要对模拟结果进行订正。

关 键 词:风能  MM5模式  酒泉地区

Research of Wind Energy Resource in Jiuquan Region Using MM5 and CALMET Pattern
WANG Xing,-,MA Peng-li,ZHANG Tie-jun,ZHOU Rong-wei.Research of Wind Energy Resource in Jiuquan Region Using MM5 and CALMET Pattern[J].Plateau Meteorology,2012,31(2):428-435.
Authors:WANG Xing  -  MA Peng-li  ZHANG Tie-jun  ZHOU Rong-wei
Institution:1.Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration/Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province/Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Disaster Reduction of China Meteorological Administration,Lanzhou 730020,China; 2.Northwest Regional Climate Center,Lanzhou 730020,China; 3.Lanzhou Central Meteorological Observatory,Lanzhou 730020,China; 4.National Climate Center,Beijing 100081,China)
Abstract:The wind energy resources of 1 km×1 km resolution in Jiuquan region in Gansu Province from June 2009 to May 2010 was simulated using the mesoscale model MM5 combined with wind diagnosis field model CALMET and 1°×1° reanalysis data of NCEP.The comparison of the simulated and observed wind speeds shows that the relative errors of flat site and away from the mountain are smaller,the complicated topography is bigger.The relative errors in seven wind towers of ten wind towers are no more than 10%,the values of other three towers are within 20% too.The seasonal changes of wind speed and wind power density display that the data of spring is the biggest,then autumn and winter,and the summer is the smallest.This seasonal variation has a close relation with terrain,physiognomy and affected weather system.The wind speed increases with the increasing of height in Jiuquan region,especially in low latitude area,namely the most west part of Hexi corridor and north part of Jiuquan.Through the analysis of wind speed representativeness in the simulated year,there is stronger wind in Jiuquan region in the simulated year.If the average wind state is further analyzed,some correction of the simulated results should be done.
Keywords:Wind energy  MM5 model  Jiuquan region
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