| 中国近海2011年灾害性海浪分析及2012年预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李本霞,邢闯.中国近海2011年灾害性海浪分析及2012年预测[J].海洋预报,2012,29(3):20-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李本霞 邢闯 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家海洋环境预报中心,北京,100081 |
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| 摘 要： | 总结分析了2011年中国近海有效波高为4 m以上的灾害性海浪过程及灾情概况,并对本年度的预测结果进行了检验评估。依据1968—2011年有效波高≧4 m的灾害性海浪的统计资料,结合2012年副热带高压及热带风暴的分析预测资料,预测了2012年中国近海灾害性海浪过程的出现次数,以及分海区的出现天数,预测结果可为今年的海洋防灾减灾提供技术支持。
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| 关 键 词： | 灾害性海浪 海浪灾情 检验评估 海浪预测 |
Analysis of disastrous wave of China seas in 2011 and prediction for 2012 |
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| LI Ben-xia
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XING Chuang.Analysis of disastrous wave of China seas in 2011 and prediction for 2012[J].Marine Forecasts,2012,29(3):20-25. |
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| Authors: | LI Ben-xia XING Chuang |
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| Institution: | (National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center,Beijing 10081 China) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,disastrous waves that the significant wave height reached over 4 meter are summarized and analyzed,and the forecasting results are assessed in China coastal regions in 2011.According to the historical data of disastrous waves from 1968 to 2011,as well as the prediction of subtropical high pressure and tropical storm surge,the frequency of disastrous waves in each sea area in 2012 is predicted.The conclusion is important to marine disaster prevention and mitigation. |
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| Keywords: | disastrous wave wave disaster assessment wave prediction |
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