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珠江口地区台风风暴潮的数值模拟试验
引用本文:李杰,于福江,李洋,史尧.珠江口地区台风风暴潮的数值模拟试验[J].海洋预报,2009,26(2).
作者姓名:李杰  于福江  李洋  史尧
作者单位:1. 中国人民解放军61741部队,北京,100081;解放军理工大学气象学院,南京,211101
2. 国家海洋环境预报中心,北京,100081
3. 中国人民解放军61741部队,北京,100081
摘    要:本文选取了3个珠江口对造成严重风暴潮灾害的南海西北向路径的台风作为个例,利用国家海洋环境预报中心建立的业务化的台风风暴潮模式进行风暴潮后报检验.将结果与珠江口地区三个验潮站实际观测资料进行对比发现:模式的后报效果比较理想,对业务预报中最为关心的最大风暴增水值模拟较好,说明该模式对模拟这类型路径台风引起的风暴增水有较好的预报适用性.并且进一步发现:强度越大的台风,增水峰值模拟效果越好;该地区各验潮站的最大增水通常发生在台风中心距离验潮站最短的几个小时内.

关 键 词:台风风暴潮  数值模拟  风暴增水

Numerical simulation of typhoon storm surge in Zhujiang River Estuary
LI Jie,YU Fu-jiang,LI Yang,SHI Yao.Numerical simulation of typhoon storm surge in Zhujiang River Estuary[J].Marine Forecasts,2009,26(2).
Authors:LI Jie  YU Fu-jiang  LI Yang  SHI Yao
Institution:1.61741 Troops of PLA;Beijing 100081 China;2.Institute of Meteorology;PLA University of Science and Technology;Nanjing 211101 China;3 National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center;Beijing 100081 China
Abstract:In this paper,the storm surge model which has been operated by the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center has been used to simulate the storm surge initiated by three northwest directional typhoons in South China Sea.By contrast with the results generated by the original model and the data collected from the tide stations,it is found that the model can simulate the whole process well,especially for the peak value.Furthermore,we find that the peak value will be more accurate while the typhoon gets ...
Keywords:surge of typhoon  numerical simulation  storm surge slevation  
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