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2003年广东风暴潮分析和预报总结
引用本文:马经广,胡建华.2003年广东风暴潮分析和预报总结[J].海洋预报,2004,21(2):78-85.
作者姓名:马经广  胡建华
作者单位:广东省水文局,广东,广州,510150
摘    要:2003年登陆广东的3个台风(0307号伊布都、0312号科罗旺、0313号杜鹃),中心气压及风力都十分强,分别造成全省沿海较高的风暴潮位,甚至部分沿海破了或平了历史记录。3个强台风同一年登陆广东且分别造成珠江口、粤西、粤东较严重风暴潮的情况十分罕见。本文从台风特性、台风增水、台风风暴高潮位、重现期等方面进行分析,并从中分别总结出我省沿海各岸段台风风暴潮的主要特点及作业预报经验。

关 键 词:2003年  广东  风暴潮  作业预报  台风
文章编号:1003-0239(2004)02-0078-08
修稿时间:2004年3月12日

ANALYSIS AND SUMMARY OF STORM SURGE IN 2003 AND THEIR FORECAST
MA Jing-guang,HU Jian-hua.ANALYSIS AND SUMMARY OF STORM SURGE IN 2003 AND THEIR FORECAST[J].Marine Forecasts,2004,21(2):78-85.
Authors:MA Jing-guang  HU Jian-hua
Abstract:In 2003, three typhoons(No. 0307 Imbudo,No 0312 krovanh,No 0313 Duj uan) highest landed at Guangduang province,their central pressure and wind power wer e very strong,each caused high storm tide level at the coast of the Province,they eve n reach or break highest record of the the historic tide level at some coastal area. It was infrequence in one year that three strong typhoon land at Guangdong Province and they caused serious storm surge at Pearl River outlet, the west and the east of the Province. This a rticle analyzes them from typhoon character, the typhoon storm surge, high storm tide, recurrenc e interval etc,and from which it generalize the character and experience of realistic stor m surge forecasting on each coastal area of the Province.
Keywords:Guangdong  typhoon  storm surge  analysis  forecast
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