| 2002～2003渤海海冰数值预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘钦政,刘煜,白珊,张启文,李宝辉,李春花.2002～2003渤海海冰数值预报[J].海洋预报,2003,20(3):60-67. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘钦政 刘煜 白珊 张启文 李宝辉 李春花 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家海洋环境预报中心,北京,100081 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家十五科技攻关项目(2001BA603B-03);海洋灾害发生机理及与预报减灾技术研究(2001CB711006);南大洋海冰变化及其对全球和中国气候影响的研究(2001DIA50040-03);国家自然科学基金项目(40233032). |
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| 摘 要： | 海冰数值预报是海冰业务预报的主要方法之一。国家海洋环境预报中心建立了业务化的渤海海冰数值预报系统，并进行了多年的业务化运行。随着我国卫星遥感事业和数值天气预报技术的发展，海冰预报系统也在不断发展中。本文介绍了2002～2003冬季应用HY—1卫星海冰遥感和T213数值天气预报模式产品对该海冰数值预报系统的改进，对2002～2003冬季海冰数值预报的结果进行了分析和比较。
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| 关 键 词： | 渤海 海冰 数值预报 T213数值天气预报模式 HY-l卫星海冰遥感 业务化 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-0239(2003)03-0060-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年6月2日 |
NUMERICAL SEA ICE FORECAST FOR THE BOHAI SEA IN THE WINTER OF 2002～2003 |
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| LIU Qin-zheng,LIU Yu,BAI Shan,ZHANG Qi-wen,LI Bao-hui,LI Chun-hua.NUMERICAL SEA ICE FORECAST FOR THE BOHAI SEA IN THE WINTER OF 2002～2003[J].Marine Forecasts,2003,20(3):60-67. |
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| Authors: | LIU Qin-zheng LIU Yu BAI Shan ZHANG Qi-wen LI Bao-hui LI Chun-hua |
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| Abstract: | Numerical sea ice forecast is one main approach of the operational sea ice forecasts. The operational numerical forecasting system for sea ice has been set up and run for about ten years in NMEFC. With the development of satellite remote sensing and improvement of numerical weather forecast technique, the operational sea ice forecast system is also in progress. This paper introduces the improvement of numerical sea ice forecast system in the winter of 2002/2003 by using the products of HY-1 Satellite sea ice remote sensing and T213 numerical weather forecast model. The operational numerical sea ice forecast is evaluated by analysis and comparison of thickness and ice edge in the winter of 2002/2003 with those during 1997/1998-2001/2002. |
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| Keywords: | the Bohai Sea Sea ice Numerical forecast T213 numerical weather forecast model HY-1 satellite sea ice remote sensing |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
