| 登陆热带气旋特大降水预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 周雁翎.登陆热带气旋特大降水预报[J].海洋预报,2006,23(1):70-75. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周雁翎 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军南海舰队海洋水文气象中心,广东,湛江,524001 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据参考文献1]中的热带气旋资料,采用因子组合分析方法,找出了影响登陆热带气旋特大降水的主要因子和条件因子以及它们之间的组合关系,建立了热带气旋特大降水的预报判别式,利用此判别式对热带气旋特大降水进行模拟和试报,其结果比较理想。
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| 关 键 词： | 因子组合分析方法 登陆热带气旋 特大降水 预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-0239(2006)1-0070-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-02-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年2月2日 |
SUPERCOLOSSAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST OF LANDING TROPICAL CYCLONE |
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| ZHOU Yan-ling.SUPERCOLOSSAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST OF LANDING TROPICAL CYCLONE[J].Marine Forecasts,2006,23(1):70-75. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Yan-ling |
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| Institution: | Naval Oceanographic Hydro meteorological Center of South China Sea Fleet GuangDong ZhanJiang, 524001 China |
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| Abstract: | According to historical data of landing tropical cyclones, the major factors, conditional factors and their combined relation ships are found out and the forecasting formula for supercolossal precipitation of landing tropical cyclone is set up by means of factor combined analysis method. Based on the set-up forecasting formula, the tropical cyclone supercolossal precipitation are simulated and test-forecasted, the rusult is relative ideal. |
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| Keywords: | factor combined analysis method landing tropical cyclone supercolossal precipitation forecast |
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