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Explaining global patterns and trends in marine protected area (MPA) development
Authors:Helen E Fox  Carrie S Soltanoff  Michael B Mascia  Kelly M Haisfield  Alfonso V Lombana  Christopher R Pyke  Louisa Wood
Institution:1. Conservation Science Program, World Wildlife Fund – US, 1250 24th Street, NW Washington, DC 20037-1132, USA;2. Graduate Program in Sustainable Development and Conservation Biology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA;3. US Green Building Council 2101 L St., NW, Suite 500, Washington, DC 20037, USA;4. Marine Assessment & Decision Support Programme, United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, UK
Abstract:The relative paucity and heterogeneous distribution of marine protected areas (MPAs) indicates the need for better understanding of factors that foster MPA establishment at local, sub-national, and national levels. The relationship between national-level MPA establishment and geographic, ecological, social, and political factors that may drive patterns and trends in MPA establishment were assessed. A country's coastline length is the strongest predictor of both the number and spatial extent of MPAs. Controlling for coastline, the Human Development Index (HDI) and spatial overlap with designated conservation priority areas are positively correlated with MPA establishment. Surprisingly, some factors influencing MPA establishment in case studies, such as percentage of fishers within a population, were not correlated with MPA establishment on a national scale. These national dynamics explain a relatively small proportion of variation, however, indicating that other biological or social factors, as well as sub-national processes, also influence MPA establishment. Positive and negative outliers illuminate the importance of policy engagement at both national and local levels. Ensuring a supportive enabling environment at the national or even multi-national level can enhance success at the local level.
Keywords:Marine reserves  Fisheries  National indicators  Convention on Biological Diversity targets
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