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事故性溢油对湄洲湾环境影响的预测
引用本文:汤军健,温生辉,陈彬.事故性溢油对湄洲湾环境影响的预测[J].台湾海峡,2002,21(3):332-339.
作者姓名:汤军健  温生辉  陈彬
作者单位:国家海洋局第三海洋研究所,福建,厦门,361005
摘    要:本文采用已建立的湄洲湾潮流场和水质点拉格朗日运动模型,利用概率预测模式,描述一旦发生事故性溢油,海上表面油膜的漂移和扩展过程,预测最大可能的污染海域范围;并建立海上溢油动力模式,探讨连续排放溢油的漂移和扩展过程,通过Mackay公式算出在油膜覆盖下水体的油含量。

关 键 词:事故性溢油  湄洲湾  概率预测  Mackay公式  潮流场  漂移
文章编号:1000-8160(2002)03-0332-08

Environmental effect of accident oil spill in Meizhou Bay
TANG Jun-jian,WEN Sheng-hui,CHEN Bing.Environmental effect of accident oil spill in Meizhou Bay[J].Journal of Oceanography In Taiwan Strait,2002,21(3):332-339.
Authors:TANG Jun-jian  WEN Sheng-hui  CHEN Bing
Abstract:In this paper, we establish a probability model through tidal current field model and Lagrangian model of water point, to describe the movement of spilled oil as accident oil spill happening, and to forecast the maximum polluted sea area. Then we establish a dynamical model to discuss the drifting and dispersing course of oil spill when continuous discharge,and calculate oil concentrations of water body under the dispersed oil slicks by Mackay formula.
Keywords:oil spill  probability  Mackay's formula
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