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开敞式航道粉砂骤淤的随机分析
引用本文:董胜,丛锦松,孔令双.开敞式航道粉砂骤淤的随机分析[J].中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版),2007,37(1):147-150.
作者姓名:董胜  丛锦松  孔令双
作者单位:1. 中国海洋大学工程学院,山东,青岛,266100
2. 青岛理工大学环境与市政工程学院,山东,青岛,266033
摘    要:沧州港建成投产以来,其开敞式航道在大风作用下常常发生严重的骤淤现象。文中以能量平衡为基础,建立计算粉砂骤淤的经验公式。通过近期实测骤淤量数据,率定公式中的待定参数。根据1979~2003年期间的大风观测数据,后报得到每年最大风况产生的开敞式航道的粉砂骤淤量。比较选择多种单因素极值统计模式,对年最大粉砂骤淤量序列进行长期统计预测,估计骤淤量的重现值,为港口航道的防淤减淤工程提供必要的技术参数。

关 键 词:粉砂  骤淤  有效风能  随机分析  防淤工程
文章编号:1672-5174(2007)01-147-04
修稿时间:2006-07-13

Stochastic Analysis of Sudden Siltation of Silty Sand in Open Channels
DONG Sheng,CONG Jin-Song,KONG Ling-Shuang.Stochastic Analysis of Sudden Siltation of Silty Sand in Open Channels[J].Periodical of Ocean University of China,2007,37(1):147-150.
Authors:DONG Sheng  CONG Jin-Song  KONG Ling-Shuang
Institution:1. College of Engineering, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China; 2. School of Environmental and Municipal Engineering, Qingdao Technological University, Qingdao 266033, China
Abstract:Since the construction of Cangzhou Port,serious sudden silt occurs in its open navigation channel under strong winds.Based on the concept of energy balance,an empirical formula is set up to hindcast the volume of silt-sand sudden siltation.The unknown coefficient of the formula is determined by using observed data.Then a historical series of siltation volumes can be hindcasted by sampling the maximum annual winds observed from 1979 to 2003.Different kinds of univariate statistical distributions are utilized for stochastic analysis of sudden siltation.The optimum distribution is selected with optimization theory.The return values of sudden siltation vulumes are estimated for silt-prevention engineering design.
Keywords:silt-sand  sudden siltation  effective wind energy  stochastic analysis  silt prevention engineering
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