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一个热带气旋移向变化的判据
引用本文:周智翔,刘伯汉.一个热带气旋移向变化的判据[J].热带海洋学报,1991(4).
作者姓名:周智翔  刘伯汉
作者单位:广东省热带海洋气象研究所 广州510080 (周智翔),广东省热带海洋气象研究所 广州510080(刘伯汉)
摘    要:本文对热带气旋移向突变进行了动力学分析,得到影响路径变化的主要因子,并在此基础上设计了一个诊断气旋移向稳定性的判据,经两百多次计算检验,证实其准确率达84%强。

关 键 词:热带气旋  移向变化  稳定性判据

A STABILITY CRITERION FOR THE DIRECTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MOTION
Zhou Zhixiang Liu Bohan.A STABILITY CRITERION FOR THE DIRECTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MOTION[J].Journal of Tropical Oceanography,1991(4).
Authors:Zhou Zhixiang Liu Bohan
Abstract:In this paper, a dynamic analysis is made for the process of abrupt changes in the direction of tropical cyclone movements, deriving the main factors which affect the changes in the movement track. On the basis of this, a criterion for the diagnosis of the stability of cyclone tracks is contrived. More than two hundred tests have verified that the accuracy of the criterion is over 84%.
Keywords:tropical cyclone  direction change of movement  criterion of stability  
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