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A Refined Method for Estimating the Annual Extreme Wave Heights at A Project Site
作者姓名:徐德伦  范海梅  张军
作者单位:Physical Oceanography Laboratory,Ocean University of China,Physical Oceanography Laboratory,Ocean University of China,Physical Oceanography Laboratory,Ocean University of China Qingdao266003,China,Qingdao266003,China,Qingdao266003,China
基金项目:ThisworkwasfinanciallysupportedbythePh .DfoundationofEducationMinistryofChina (GrantNo .2 0 0 0 0 4 2 30 8)
摘    要:1 .Introduction1ThisworkwasfinanciallysupportedbythePh .DfoundationofEducationMinistryofChina (GrantNo .2 0 0 0 0 4 2 30 8) . Correspondingauthor.E mail:xudel@mail.ouqd .edu .cn  Becausetheestimationoflikelyextremewaveconditionsiscloselyrelatedwiththesafeandcosteffectiv…


A Refined Method for Estimating the Annual Extreme Wave Heights at A Project Site
Abstract:This paper presents a refined method for estimating the annual extreme wave heights at a coastal or offshore project site on the basis of the data acquired at some nearby routine hydrographic stations. This method is based on the orthogonality principle in linear mean square estimation of stochastic processes. The error of the method is analyzed and compared with that of the conventional method. It is found that the method is able to effectively reduce the error so long as some feasible measures are adopted. A simulated test of the method has been conducted in a large scale wind wave flume. The test results are in good agreement with those given by theoretical error analysis. A scheme to implement the method is proposed on the basis of error analysis. The scheme is so designed as to reduce the estimation error as far as possible. This method is also suitable to utilizing satellite wave data for the estimation.
Keywords:annual extreme wave height  estimation  refined method  simulated test
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