| 广东沿海经济带海洋环境与经济增长的协调关系实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张玉强,李民梁.广东沿海经济带海洋环境与经济增长的协调关系实证研究[J].海洋开发与管理,2021,38(4):16-26. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张玉强 李民梁 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东海洋大学 广东沿海经济带发展研究院 |
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| 基金项目： | 湛江市哲学社会科学规划重点项目“湛江打造现代化沿海经济带重要发展极的战略研究”（ZJ20ZD02）；广东海洋大学“创新强校”项目“广东沿海经济带府际博弈及整体性治理研究”（230419109）. |
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| 摘 要： | 环境与经济的关系是社会发展中不可忽视的重要问题。文章基于环境库茨涅兹理论构建广东沿海经济带主要海洋污染物排放量与人均GDP的线性回归模型,探索海洋环境随经济增长的变化规律,并采用熵变方程法进一步描述海洋环境与经济增长的协调关系。研究结果表明:广东沿海经济带以第二和第三产业为主导,经济增长速度快,但海洋污染物排放量逐年增加,其中珠三角是海洋污染物排放的主体区域;广东沿海经济带海洋环境与经济增长的EKC曲线因主要海洋污染物类别和地区的差异而呈现线型、"倒U"型、"N"型和"倒N"型等不同形式,整体海洋环境污染与人均GDP的拟合趋势表现为单调递增的线性变化,海洋环境污染程度随经济增长而显著加剧;广东沿海经济带海洋环境与经济增长处于严重不协调状态,经济增长与海洋环境质量的变化方向相反;亟须优化调整广东沿海经济带的产业分工布局,强化海洋环境保护制度保障,构建和完善海洋环境与经济增长的协调机制。
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| 关 键 词： | 广东沿海经济带 海洋环境 经济发展 海洋污染 环境库茨涅兹理论 |
An Empirical Study on Coordinative Relation Between Marine Environment and Economic Growth in Guangdong Coastal Economic Zone |
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| ZHANG Yuqiang,LI Minliang.An Empirical Study on Coordinative Relation Between Marine Environment and Economic Growth in Guangdong Coastal Economic Zone[J].Ocean Development and Management,2021,38(4):16-26. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Yuqiang LI Minliang |
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| Institution: | (Guangdong Coastal Economic Belt Development Research Institute,Guangdong Ocean University,,Zhanjiang 524088,China) |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between environment and economy is an important issue that can’t be ignored in social development.Based on the theory of Environmental Kuznets,this paper constructed a linear regression model of marine pollutant emission and per capita GDP to explore the law of marine environment changing with economic growth in Guangdong Coastal Economic Zone.The coordinated developing state of marine environment and economic growth was described by using the method of entropy change equation.The results showed that Guangdong Coastal Economic Zone was dominated by secondary and tertiary industries with rapid economic growth,but the pollutant emissions increased year by year.The Pearl River Delta was the main area of pollutant emissions.Because of the differences of pollutant types or regions,the EKC curves of marine environment and economic growth showed different shapes,such as linear shape,inverted"U"shape,"N"shape and inverted"N"shape.The fitting trend of regional marine environmental pollution and per capita GDP showed a monotonous and increasing linear change and the degree of pollution increased significantly with economic growth.The quality of the marine environment and economic growth were in a state of serious disharmony and change in the opposite direction.Therefore,it was necessary to optimize and adjust the distribution of industrial division in the economic zone,strengthen the institutional guarantee of environmental protection in coastal areas,and build and improve the coordination mechanism between marine environment and economic development. |
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| Keywords: | Guangdong Coastal Economic Zone Marine environment Economic development Marine pollution The theory of Environmental Kuznets |
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