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海上蒸发波导的预测方法综述
引用本文:漆随平,王东明,郭颜萍,初伟先.海上蒸发波导的预测方法综述[J].海洋通报,2012,31(3):347-353.
作者姓名:漆随平  王东明  郭颜萍  初伟先
作者单位:山东省海洋环境监测技术重点实验室 山东省科学院海洋仪器仪表研究所,山东青岛,266001
基金项目:山东省自然科学基金(ZR2011DL003)
摘    要:综述了海上蒸发波导的预测方法,根据预测方法的原理及实现方法不同,将已有的蒸发波导预测方法归纳为基于气象水文要素数据的预报方法、基于气象卫星数据的反演计算方法、基于雷达数据的反演计算方法和中尺度模式同化方法等四大类。对每个类中的主要方法的基本原理及优缺点进行了具体分析和总结,最后给出了蒸发波导预测方法中存在的问题及研究进展情况,对未来研究方向及趋势进行了预计。

关 键 词:大气波导  蒸发波导  模型  分析预测

Overview on the methods of analysis and prediction on evaporation ducts over sea
QI Sui-ping,WANG Dong-ming,GUO Yan-ping and CHU Wei-xian.Overview on the methods of analysis and prediction on evaporation ducts over sea[J].Marine Science Bulletin,2012,31(3):347-353.
Authors:QI Sui-ping  WANG Dong-ming  GUO Yan-ping and CHU Wei-xian
Institution:Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ocean Environment Monitoring Technology, Institute of Oceanographic Instrumentation of Shandong Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266001, China;Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ocean Environment Monitoring Technology, Institute of Oceanographic Instrumentation of Shandong Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266001, China;Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ocean Environment Monitoring Technology, Institute of Oceanographic Instrumentation of Shandong Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266001, China;Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ocean Environment Monitoring Technology, Institute of Oceanographic Instrumentation of Shandong Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266001, China
Abstract:A brief overview on sensing and prediction parabolic equation models of the evaporation ducts over sea was made. According to their different principles and achieved methods, the existing approaches to predict the evaporation ducts over sea were classified into four kinds: the prediction methods based on the meteorological and hydro-meteorological data, the inversion calculation methods based on the satellite meteorological data, the back calculation methods based on the radar echo data, and the numerical assimilation methods based on the meso-scale model. The primary principle, and merits and drawbacks of each leading method were specifically analyzed and summarized. At last, the paper presented the present problems and the state of the progress in the methods of predicting and analyzing evaporation ducts over sea and its future research and tendency as well.
Keywords:atmospheric ducts  evaporation ducts  model  analysis and prediction
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