| 青岛气温变化趋势及其预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 方修佩,胡基福.青岛气温变化趋势及其预测[J].海洋湖沼通报,1994(2):184-190. |
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| 作者姓名： | 方修佩 胡基福 |
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| 作者单位： | 青岛海洋预报台(方修佩，郭可彩)，青岛海洋大学(胡基福) |
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| 摘 要： | 根据青岛月平均气温资料（１８９８－１９９２年），研究了９５年来青岛年与季气温变化趋势。指出９５年来青岛年与季平均气温变化是上升的。其中春季增温最显著，冬季次之，秋夏增温最小。同时，根据年温度的变化趋势确定了气候转换期；１９０４－１９２９年为变冷期；１９２５－１９５３年为变暖期；１９５４－１９７９年为变冷期；１９８０年以后又是变暖期，预测该期的最暖时间将出现在９０年代初期。
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| 关 键 词： | 气温 变化趋势 平均气温 青岛 |
THE VARIATION TREND OF MEAN TEMPERATURE IN QINGDAO AND ITS PROGNOSIS |
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| Fang Xiupei, Guo Kecai.THE VARIATION TREND OF MEAN TEMPERATURE IN QINGDAO AND ITS PROGNOSIS[J].Transaction of Oceanology and Limnology,1994(2):184-190. |
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| Authors: | Fang Xiupei Guo Kecai |
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| Institution: | Fang Xiupei; Guo Kecai (Qingdao Marine Forecasting Observatory)Hu Jifu(Ocean University of Qingdao) |
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| Abstract: | The variations of annual and seasonal mean temperatures over the last 95 years are studied based on the temperature data (1898-1992) in Qingdao. It is shown that the annual and the seasonal mean temperature increased in Qingdao during the last 95 years. It is found that the most obvions warming occurs in spring and the secondary warming occurs in winter. But the slight warming occurs in autumn and summer. Also the climate transition periods are determined according to the variation trend of annual mean temperature to be as follows: 1904-1928 (cooling period); 1929-1953 (warming period); 1954-1979 (cooling period). It has been warming period since 1980 and the most obyious warming time will occur in the early 1990's. |
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| Keywords: | mean temperature variation trend Qingdao |
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