| 周期外推方法在海水水温预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 张志刚,蔡东明,骆永军.周期外推方法在海水水温预报中的应用[J].海洋技术,2007,26(4):69-71. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张志刚 蔡东明 骆永军 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军大连舰艇学院军事海洋系,辽宁,大连,116018 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对海水温度的周期性变化,利用周期外推方法进行海水水温预报,并用平稳过程对周期变化以外的部分进行拟合,最后得到预报值。与实际观测资料比较,检验了预报的结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 周期外推方法 水温预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-2029（2007）04-0069-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-08-22 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年8月22日 |
Application of Distinct Periodicity Extrapolation to Sea Water Temperature Forecast |
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| ZHANG Zhi-gang,CAI Dong-ming,LUO Yong-jun.Application of Distinct Periodicity Extrapolation to Sea Water Temperature Forecast[J].Ocean Technology,2007,26(4):69-71. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Zhi-gang CAI Dong-ming LUO Yong-jun |
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| Abstract: | The sea water temperature forecast is very important for the oceanography element forecast. The sea water temperature changes periodically in some areas in the China Sea.So we can forecast it with distinct periodicity extrapolation method.To the periodical change, a method to forecast sea water temperature by means of periodicity extrapolation is introducted in this paper.At the same time the method can also simulate the aperiodic change with smooth random process theory.Then the forecasted temperature in a certain area is given and compared the results with observation value.The application was proved to be feasible. |
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| Keywords: | distinct periodicity extrapolation method sea water temperature forecast |
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