| 霍泉灌区出流量预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑世宗.霍泉灌区出流量预测模型[J].水科学进展,1999,10(4):382-387. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑世宗 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.武汉水利电力大学, 湖北武汉430072; |
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| 基金项目： | “九五”国家重点科技攻关项目部分内容(96-006-02) |
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| 摘 要： | 根据灌溉用水决策支持系统(DSS)和实时配水的要求,建立了霍泉泉源年出流量随机预测模型和月出流量实时预测模型.经分析表明,随机AR(p)预测模型较适合预测泉源的年出流量,月出流量实时预测模型的预测精度也较高
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| 关 键 词： | 灌区 泉源 出流量 预测 |
| 收稿时间： | 1999-01-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 1999-01-29 |
A Prediction Model for the Discharge from Huoquan in the Irrigation District |
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| ZHENG Shi-zong,YUAN Hong-yuan,LI Yuan-hua,GUO Zong-lou,CUI Yuan-lai,JI Zhu-bao,LI Ji-ma.A Prediction Model for the Discharge from Huoquan in the Irrigation District[J].Advances in Water Science,1999,10(4):382-387. |
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| Authors: | ZHENG Shi-zong YUAN Hong-yuan LI Yuan-hua GUO Zong-lou CUI Yuan-lai JI Zhu-bao LI Ji-ma |
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| Institution: | 1.Wuhan University of Hydraulic and Electric Engineering, Wuhan 430072, China;2.Huoquan Irrigation District, Huoquan 041000, China |
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| Abstract: | According to the demand of decision support system and real-time water allocation for Huoquan Irrigation District,this paper presents a stochastic prediction model for yearly discharge and a real-time prediction model for monthly.The case study indicates that the AR(p) model is appropriate for yearly discharge and the precision of monthly model is also satisfied. |
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| Keywords: | irrig ation district spring discharge prediction |
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