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全国重要矿产总量预测方法
引用本文:肖克炎,张晓,李景朝,杨毅衡,陈建平,丁建,娄德波,王保良,叶天竺,张立新.全国重要矿产总量预测方法[J].地学前缘,2007,14(5):20-26.
作者姓名:肖克炎  张晓  李景朝  杨毅衡  陈建平  丁建  娄德波  王保良  叶天竺  张立新
作者单位:1. 中国地质科学院,矿产资源研究所,北京,100037
2. 中国地质调查局,发展研究中心,北京,100083
3. 中国地质大学(北京),北京,100083
4. 中国地质调查局,北京,100011
5. 贵州大学,贵州,贵阳,550003
基金项目:中国地质调查局地质调查项目
摘    要:全国重要矿产资源评价涉及25种重要矿产的近百种矿床类型,需要在1∶20万尺度水平圈定成矿预测远景区,并科学估算各远景区资源量,为国家矿产资源战略勘查和战略部署提供技术支撑。为了保证预测成果在同一层面上进行全国汇总,制定了全国一致的、标准的技术要求和方法。通过对中国以往一轮、二轮区划预测方法、全国矿产资源总量预测方法及国外最新预测方法的分析和总结,结合近年来预测理论的新发展,确定了全国重要矿产总量预测的理论基础是成矿系列理论、现代成矿动力学理论和综合信息矿产预测理论,采用的预测思路是矿床模型综合地质信息预测方法。文章陈述了总量预测的方法流程和预测技术要求,有关方法思路可供资源评价人员参考。

关 键 词:矿产资源  总量估算  评价  定量分析  模型
文章编号:1005-2321(2007)05-0020-07
修稿时间:2007年4月20日

Quantitative assessment method for national important mineral resources prognosis
Xiao Keyan,Zhang Xiaohua,Li Jingchao,Yang Yiheng,Chen Jianping,Ding Jianhua,Lou Debo,Wang Baoliang,Ye Tianzhu,Zhang Lixin.Quantitative assessment method for national important mineral resources prognosis[J].Earth Science Frontiers,2007,14(5):20-26.
Authors:Xiao Keyan  Zhang Xiaohua  Li Jingchao  Yang Yiheng  Chen Jianping  Ding Jianhua  Lou Debo  Wang Baoliang  Ye Tianzhu  Zhang Lixin
Abstract:Twenty-five types of minerals and almost one hundred types of deposits have been involved in the project of National Important Mineral Resources Prognosis.Prospective areas will be delineated under data level of 1∶200000 scale and potential reserves will be evaluated to supply technical support for national resources strategy planning and prospecting.Coherent techniques and methods should be used to ensure that the results of each province are at the same level.Based on sum-up and epurate from the first-and second-round national mineral assessment,new developing in minerogenetic series theory,minerogenetic dynamic theory and multi-information prognosis theory have been used to support and improve the methods for this round national resources strategy planning and prospecting.Working flow scheme and requests have been described in this paper.The thinking and method introduced in this paper can be a reference to the geologists working in the mineral assessment area.
Keywords:mineral resource  total reserves evaluating  assessment  quantitative analysis  model
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