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自然灾害风险初议
引用本文:高庆华,张业成,苏桂武.自然灾害风险初议[J].地球学报,1999,20(1):81-86.
作者姓名:高庆华  张业成  苏桂武
作者单位:国家科委国家计委国家经贸委自然灾害综合研究组;中国地质科学院562队;中国地震局地质研究所
摘    要:自然灾害风险的研究与评价是制定减灾对策、土地利用规划、社会发展与经济建设规划及保险展业的基础工作。自然灾害风险是灾害科学的前沿性研究课题。本文对自然灾害风险的特点、分类、形成原因、构成要素、结构层次、分析方法和研究风险的基本步骤进行了初步的讨论,以期在推动我国自然灾害风险研究中起到抛砖引玉的作用。

关 键 词:自然灾害风险  危险性  易损性  防灾有效度  不确定性  风险管理

Natural Disaster Risk--A Preliminary Discussion
GAO Qing-hu,ZHANG Ye-cheng and SU Gui-wu.Natural Disaster Risk--A Preliminary Discussion[J].Acta Geoscientia Sinica,1999,20(1):81-86.
Authors:GAO Qing-hu  ZHANG Ye-cheng and SU Gui-wu
Institution:Working Group on Major Natural Disasters of China Sponsored by CSSTM, CSPC and CSETC, Beijing;562 Comprehensir Geological Brigade, CAGS, Sanhe, Hebei;Institute of Geology, CSB, Beijing
Abstract:The study and assessment of natural disaster risk,which has been regarded as the frontier of natural disaster science studies, have proved to be basic foundation for laying down the disaster reduction countermeasures, planning land use, planning social development and economic construction and carrying out insurance business. In this paper, the characteristics, classification,engendering factors, elements,structural features,analytical methods and general research steps of the natural disaster risk are discussed preliminarily,which aim at promoting the study of natural disaster risk in China.
Keywords:natural disaster risk  riskiness  vulnerability  disaster prevention validity  uncertainty  risk management
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