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秩相关秩相似法在枯季径流预报中的应用
引用本文:鲁帆,侯召成,蒋云钟,赵红莉,刘佳.秩相关秩相似法在枯季径流预报中的应用[J].水文,2011(4):58-61.
作者姓名:鲁帆  侯召成  蒋云钟  赵红莉  刘佳
作者单位:中国水利水电科学研究院水资源研究所;南水北调中线干线建设管理局;东华大学环境科学与工程学院;
基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2010CB951102); 国家自然科学基金创新研究群体基金项目(51021006); 中国水科院科研专项项目(资集1001)
摘    要:阐述了秩相关秩相似法的基本原理,并根据枯季径流的特点,将该方法应用于丹江口水库的枯季入库径流预报。计算结果表明,该方法的预报效果比较理想,可操作性强,可供水库在实际运行中制定调度方案时应用。

关 键 词:秩相关  秩相似  枯季径流预报

Application of Rank Correlation and Rank Similarity Method to Low Flow Forecast
LU Fan,HOU Zhaocheng,JIANG Yunzhong,ZHAO Hongli,LIU Jia.Application of Rank Correlation and Rank Similarity Method to Low Flow Forecast[J].Hydrology,2011(4):58-61.
Authors:LU Fan  HOU Zhaocheng  JIANG Yunzhong  ZHAO Hongli  LIU Jia
Institution:LU Fan1,HOU Zhaocheng2,JIANG Yunzhong1,ZHAO Hongli1,LIU Jia1,3(1.Department of Water Resources,China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038,China,2.Construction and Administration Bureau of South-to-North Water Diversion Middle Route Project,3.College of Environmental Science and Engineering,Donghua University,Shanghai 201620,China)
Abstract:In this study,the basic theory of rank correlation and rank similarity method were introduced,which was used in low flow forecasting for the Danjiangkou reservoir according to characteristics of low flow.The results show that rank correlation and rank similarity method is effective and feasible,and it may be used as reference to draw up reservoir regulation scheme.
Keywords:rank correlation  rank similarity  low flow forecasting  
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