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青岛核心城区饱和负荷预测研究
引用本文:段忠峰,杨朋朋,朱子钊.青岛核心城区饱和负荷预测研究[J].中国勘察设计,2014(10):80-83.
作者姓名:段忠峰  杨朋朋  朱子钊
作者单位:山东电力工程咨询院有限公司;
摘    要:本文以青岛市经济社会发展现状为基础,结合城市发展定位和发展规划,分别采用基于人口容量的特征参数类比法、饱和负荷密度特征参数类比法以及空间负荷预测法,对青岛市核心城区饱和负荷进行了预测,为确定城市电网最终规模,并在核心城区用地中为电力可持续发展预留必要的空间提供依据。

关 键 词:饱和负荷  负荷预测  人均用电量  负荷密度

Research on Saturated Load Forecasting for The Central District of Qingdao
Abstract:Based on the economic and social development status of Qingdao, combined with the development positioning and plan, the saturated power load of Central City District of Qingdao is predicted in this paper. To obtain the predictions three appropriate methods are adopted, respectively based on the characteristic parameters of population capacity analogy, characteristic parameters of saturation load density analogy and the spatial distribution of the load. It will provide evidences to determine the final size of the city grid, and set aside necessary space for the sustainable development of the power in the core of the city.
Keywords:saturated load  load forecast  electricity consumption per capita  load dencity
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