| 南水北调西线工程区地震危险性分析及预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 彭华,马秀敏.南水北调西线工程区地震危险性分析及预测[J].地质力学学报,2007,13(1):15-24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 彭华 马秀敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京科技大学土木与环境工程学院,北京,100083;中国地质科学院地质力学研究所,北京,100081
2. 中国地质科学院地质力学研究所,北京,100081 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国地质调查局区域地质调查项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 作者已在《青藏高原地质过程与环境灾害效应》文集中,对南水北调西线调水区地震与活动断裂的关系及其特征进行了论述,本文通过南水北调西线工程区地震活动特点,利用区域地震资料采用统计的方法研究地震发生的时空分布特点及预测未来发生地震的可能性。
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| 关 键 词： | 南水北调 地震 危险性分析 地震趋势 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-6616（2007）01-0015-10 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-02-01 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年2月1日 |
RISK ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF EARTHQUAKES IN THE CONSTRUCTION AREA OF THE WEST LINE OF THE SOUTH-TO-NORTH WATER DIVERSION PROJECT |
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| PENG Hua and MA Xiu-min.RISK ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF EARTHQUAKES IN THE CONSTRUCTION AREA OF THE WEST LINE OF THE SOUTH-TO-NORTH WATER DIVERSION PROJECT[J].Journal of Geomechanics,2007,13(1):15-24. |
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| Authors: | PENG Hua and MA Xiu-min |
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| Institution: | School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Beijing University of Science and Technology, Beijing 100083, China;Institute of Geomechanics, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China and Institute of Geomechanics, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China |
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| Abstract: | The paper discusses the distinguishing features of earthquake activities in the construction area of the west line of the project of water diversion from the upper Yangtze River in the south to the upper Yellow River in the north.According to these features,by using the regional earthquake data and statistical method,the characteristics of temporal-spatial distribution of earthquakes occurring in the area are discussed,and in addition,the possibility of occurrence of earthquakes in the area in the future is predicted. |
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| Keywords: | water diversion from the upper Yangtze River in the south to the upper Yellow River in the north earthquake risk analysis earthquake trend prediction |
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