| 发扬李四光地震预报的科学思想 |
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| 引用本文： | 李方全.发扬李四光地震预报的科学思想[J].地质力学学报,2011,17(1):74-78. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李方全 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地震局地壳应力研究所，北京100085 |
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| 摘 要： | 李四光教授关于地震地质工作中地震预报方面的重要观点和思想主要包括:地应力变化与地震密切相关;地震活动带中也存在相对安全的地区(“安全岛”理论);地震地质调查是地震预报的基础;地震是可以预测的,地应力的变化过程是地震预报的关键.他的“安全岛”理论及地震预报思想至今仍有着十分重要的理论意义和现实意义.
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| 关 键 词： | 地震地质 地震预报 安全岛 地应力测量 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010/8/17 0:00:00 |
DEVELOPING LI SIGUANG'S SCIENTIFIC THOUGHT ON EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION |
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| LI Fang-quan.DEVELOPING LI SIGUANG'S SCIENTIFIC THOUGHT ON EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J].Journal of Geomechanics,2011,17(1):74-78. |
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| Authors: | LI Fang-quan |
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| Institution: | LI Fang-quan(Institute of Crustal Dynamics,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100053,China) |
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| Abstract: | Some useful viewpoints on earthquake forecasting,based on Prof.Li Siguang's important speeches and instructions,are presented in this paper in combination with authors' own experience and understanding.Those can be summarized in the four aspects as follows.The existence and change of earth stress has close relation with earthquake.Relatively safe areas may occur in active earthquake zones.Earthquake survey must be the basis of earthquake forecasting.Earthquake is predictable and the change process of earth ... |
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| Keywords: | earthquake earthquake forecast Safe Island crustal stress surevy |
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