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中国西北现代气候变化事实与未来趋势展望
引用本文:李栋梁,魏丽,蔡英,张存杰,冯建英,杨青,袁玉江,董安祥.中国西北现代气候变化事实与未来趋势展望[J].冰川冻土,2003,25(2):135-142.
作者姓名:李栋梁  魏丽  蔡英  张存杰  冯建英  杨青  袁玉江  董安祥
作者单位:1. 中国科学院,寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,甘肃,兰州,730000
2. 中国气象局,兰州干旱气象研究所,甘肃,兰州,730020
3. 中国气象局,乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830002
基金项目:中国科学院知识创新工程项目;KZCX1-10-06和KZCX2-301;
摘    要:利用西北地区建站至2000年常规气象观测站资料及美国NCKP/NCAR再分析全球网格点资料,分析了西北地区现代气候变化的特点,揭示了西北地区气候由暖干转向暖湿的事实.在此基础上对未来几十年气候变化趋势作了初步估计.

关 键 词:气候变化  中国  西北地区  气象观测站  大气降水  大气环流
文章编号:1000-0240(2003)02-0135-08
修稿时间:2002年11月20日

The Present Facts and the Future Tendency of the Climate Change in Northwest China
LI Dong liang ,WEI Li ,CAI Ying ,ZHANG Chun jie ,FENG Jian ying ,YANG Qing ,YUAN Yu jiang ,DONG An xiang.The Present Facts and the Future Tendency of the Climate Change in Northwest China[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2003,25(2):135-142.
Authors:LI Dong liang  WEI Li  CAI Ying  ZHANG Chun jie  FENG Jian ying  YANG Qing  YUAN Yu jiang  DONG An xiang
Institution:LI Dong liang 1,WEI Li 1,CAI Ying 1,ZHANG Chun jie 2,FENG Jian ying 2,YANG Qing 3,YUAN Yu jiang 3,DONG An xiang 2
Abstract:Based on the data observed from the meteorological stations in Northwest China for the periods from the year of beginning observation to the year of 2000 and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis monthly mean data, the characteristics of the present climate change in Northwest China have been comprehensively analyzed. The study reveals the observed evidence of the climate transition from the warm dry pattern to the warm wet pattern. And the tendency of the climate change for the future multi-decades have also been estimated in this paper.
Keywords:Northwest China  climate change  warm  dry  warm  wet  climate transition  climate prediction
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