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运用孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论探讨大同—阳高—张北地区未来地震活动性
引用本文:秦四清,徐锡伟,薛雷.运用孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论探讨大同—阳高—张北地区未来地震活动性[J].工程地质学报(英文版),2010,18(2):189.
作者姓名:秦四清  徐锡伟  薛雷
作者单位:1.中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所,中国科学院工程地质力学重点实验室 北京 100029
摘    要:基于笔者最近建立的孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论,本文针对大同—阳高—张北地区未来大地震发生的可能性进行了预测分析,结果表明该地区有可能发生6.5级以上的破坏性地震。

关 键 词:大同-阳高-张北地区  地震活动性  锁固段

DISCUSSION ON THE FUTURE SEISMICITY IN DATONG-YANGGAO-ZHANGBEI AREA USING THE BRITTLE FAILURE THEORY OF MULTIPLE LOCKED PATCHES ALONG A SEISMOGENIC FAULT
Institution:1.Key Laboratory of Engineering Geomechanics, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing |1000292.Institute of Geology, Chinese Earthquake Adminstration,Beijing |100029
Abstract:Based on the the brittle failure theory of multiple locked patches along a seismogenic fault presented recently by us,the possibility of that the strong earthquake will occur in Datong Yanggao Zhangbei area is analysed. It is shown that a destructive earthquake with a magnitude of more than 65 in this area will possibly occur.
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