| 滑坡时间预报的非平稳时间序列方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 郝小员,郝小红,熊红梅.滑坡时间预报的非平稳时间序列方法研究[J].工程地质学报(英文版),1999,7(3):279-283. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郝小员 郝小红 熊红梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.华北水利水电学院岩土工程系,郑州450045; |
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| 摘 要： | 本文基于边坡变形破坏的特点，对位移观测数据进行统计分析，利用非平稳时间序列理论就位移观测值建立模型进而作出预报。通过实例验证，该理论方法在边坡变形破坏时间预报中是有效可行的。
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| 关 键 词： | 边坡变形 非平稳时间序列 时间预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-9665(1999)03-279-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 1998-11-18 |
| 修稿时间： | 1998-11-18 |
RESEARCH ON LANDSLIDE TIME FORECAST BY THE UNSTABLE TIME SERIES METHOD |
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| HAO Xiao,yuan,HAO Xiao,hong,XIONG Hong,mei.RESEARCH ON LANDSLIDE TIME FORECAST BY THE UNSTABLE TIME SERIES METHOD[J].Journal of Engineering Geology,1999,7(3):279-283. |
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| Authors: | HAO Xiao yuan HAO Xiao hong XIONG Hong mei |
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| Institution: | 1.North China Institute of Water Conservancy And Hydroelectric Power,Zhengzhou 450045;2.Nanyang Testing Station of Architecture and Engineering,Nanyang 473000 |
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| Abstract: | The observed data of slope displacement is statistically analysed in accordence with the characteristics of slope deformation and destruction in this paper. A new model is set up by using the unstable time series theory to forecast the slope deformation and displacement. The theory is confirmed to be effective in practical analysis. |
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| Keywords: | Landslide deformation Unstable time series Time forecast |
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