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我国长江、黄河两流域旱涝规律成因与预测研究的进展、成果与问题
引用本文:叶笃正,黄荣辉.我国长江、黄河两流域旱涝规律成因与预测研究的进展、成果与问题[J].地球科学进展,1991,6(4):24-29.
作者姓名:叶笃正  黄荣辉
摘    要:

关 键 词:干旱  水灾  气候  异常

ADVANCES,RESULTS AND PROBLEMS OF THE PROJECT "INVESTIGATION ON LAWS,CAUSES AND PREDICTIONS OF DROUGHTS AND IN THE YELLOW RIVER VALLEY AND THE YANGTZE RIVER VALLEY OF CHINA"
Ye Duzheng,Huang Ronghui.ADVANCES,RESULTS AND PROBLEMS OF THE PROJECT "INVESTIGATION ON LAWS,CAUSES AND PREDICTIONS OF DROUGHTS AND IN THE YELLOW RIVER VALLEY AND THE YANGTZE RIVER VALLEY OF CHINA"[J].Advance in Earth Sciences,1991,6(4):24-29.
Authors:Ye Duzheng  Huang Ronghui
Institution:Institute of Atmospheric physics, Academia Sinica  100080
Abstract:The advances obtained by the project "Investigation on Laws, Causes and Predictions of Droughts And Floods In The Yellow River valley And The Yangtze River valley of China" for this three years are reviewed in this paper. The laws of decadal scale, interannual and Intraseasonal variations and circulation conditions of droughts and floods in these two valleys are analysed in detail. Moreover, the preliminary views of the causes of droughts and floods in these two valleys are put forward. The investigations of the project have pointed out that the thermal state in the western Pacific warm pool and the connective activities over the warm pool and the connective activities over the Tibetan Plateau may be siganificant causes of droughts and floods caused in these two valleys. Besides, the numerical simulation of occurance and circulation condition of droughts and floods resulted in these two valleys and their prediction experiments have been made by using the atmospheric general circulation model.
In this paper, the problems in research of the project are also analysed so that to obtain the investigated results in more higher level.
Keywords:droughts and floods  climate anomaly  the western Pacific warm pool  general circulation model  seasonal prediction    
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