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Doline probability map using logistic regression and GIS technology in the central Ebro Basin (Spain)
Authors:M T Lamelas  O Marinoni  A Hoppe  J de la Riva
Institution:1. Institut für Angewandte Geowissenschaften, Technische Universit?t Darmstadt, Schnittspahnstrasse, 9, 64287, Darmstadt, Germany
2. Department of Geografía y Ordenación del Territorio, Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, Universidad de Zaragoza, Pedro Cerbuna 12, 50009, Zaragoza, Spain
Abstract:In the surroundings of Zaragoza, karstification processes are especially intense in covered karst areas where fluvial terraces lie directly on Tertiary evaporites. Since the beginning of Quaternary, these processes have lead to the development of collapse and subsidence dolines with a wide range of sizes, which have significant economic impacts. To reduce economic impact and increase safety, a regional analysis of this phenomenon is needed for spatial management. Therefore, a probability map of dolines was developed using logistic regression and geographic information system (GIS) techniques. This paper covers the selection of input data, manipulation of data using the GIS technology, and the use of logistic regression to generate a doline probability map. The primary variable in the doline development in this area is geomorphology, represented by the location of endorheic areas and different terrace levels. Secondary variables are the presence of irrigation and the water table gradient.
Keywords:Dolines  Geo-hazards  GIS  Logistic regression  Ebro Basin
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