| 底板突水预测与评价的专家系统方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘伟韬,陈学星.底板突水预测与评价的专家系统方法研究[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2001,12(2):70-73. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘伟韬 陈学星 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 山东科技大学,
2. 淄博学院, |
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| 摘 要： | 突水预报是一个涉及到水文地质、工程地质、开采条件、岩石力学等诸多因素的复杂问题,借助于防治水领域知名专家的实践经验和防治水知识,运用合理的推理方法,考虑影响底板突水的多方面因素,建立一种底板突水预测与评价的专家系统方法,一方面可以总结、运用和推广现场实践经验,另一方面,采用规则的形式来表示预测专家的判断性知识,运用可信度值来反映专家经验的不确定性,又能提高预测预报的成功率与准确性,为受底板水威胁矿区的安全生产提供保证.
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 评价 底板突水 专家系统 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-8035(2001)02-0070-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000年9月18日 |
Research of expert system method on floor water-irruption predicting and evaluating |
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| Liu Weitao,CHEN Xuexing.Research of expert system method on floor water-irruption predicting and evaluating[J].The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2001,12(2):70-73. |
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| Authors: | Liu Weitao CHEN Xuexing |
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| Abstract: | Water-irruption predicting is a complex problem concerning geohydrology ,engineering geology ,mining condition and rock mechanics.Based on experience and knowledge of well-known expert in this field,with reasonable method , considering the factors which affect water-irruption in many ways , an expert system of predicting and evaluating has been built .On the one hand it summarizes and spreads the experience of practice,on the other hand , it can give an accurate result of predicting with the rule form showing judgement knowledge and reliability reflecting incertitude of expert experience. |
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