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岩溶地面塌陷预测模型初探
引用本文:高宗军,马海会,王敏,成世才.岩溶地面塌陷预测模型初探[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2009,20(4):66-71,85.
作者姓名:高宗军  马海会  王敏  成世才
作者单位:山东科技大学地质科学与工程学院,山东青岛,266510
摘    要:岩溶的发育程度、上覆岩土体性质是岩溶地面塌陷形成的基本条件;地下水位下降,地表水或降水入渗,震动荷载等动力扰动,是形成岩溶地面塌陷产生的诱发动力条件。本文以山东省泰安市岩溶地面塌陷区为例,讨论了岩溶地面塌陷的产生机理,并从受力情况对其进行了分析探讨,从而提出了岩溶地面塌陷的预测模型。本文还根据研究区的8个塌陷实例对模型进行了检验。结果表明,该模型的计算结果与实际情况基本吻合。

关 键 词:岩溶地面塌陷  预测模型  初探  地下水位变动  岩溶地面塌陷系数  山东省泰安

Preliminary Analysis on Forecasting Model of Karst Collapse
GAO Zong-jun,MA Hai-hui,WANG Min,CHENG Shi-cai.Preliminary Analysis on Forecasting Model of Karst Collapse[J].The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2009,20(4):66-71,85.
Authors:GAO Zong-jun  MA Hai-hui  WANG Min  CHENG Shi-cai
Institution:(College of Geological Science and Technology, SUST, Qingdao 266510, China)
Abstract:The development degree of Karst and the nature of the overlying rock soil mass are the basic formation conditions of the Karst Collapse.Dynamic disturbance such as lowering of groundwater table, infiltration of surface water or rain water and vibration load are the induced dynamic formation conditions of the Karst Collapse.In this paper, we took Tai'an City, Shandong Province as an example of Karst Collapses, discussed the generation mechanism of Karst Collapse and analyzed it from the mechanical aspects, then established a forecasting model of karst collapse.Then we applied eight karst collapses in Tai'an City to test the forecasting model.The results showed that the outcome of the model presented in good agreement with the actual situation.
Keywords:Karst collapse  forecasting model  elementary study  water table fluctuation  Karst collapse coefficient
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