| 用历史类比法对中国强震活动的概率预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈立军,周霞.用历史类比法对中国强震活动的概率预测[J].福建地震,1998(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈立军 周霞 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南省地震局分析预报中心 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文将20世纪全球强震活动划分为7个活动期,以国内中强以上地震同期活动资料进行比较,对未来国内强震活动趋势作出中期的统计概率预测,似乎可以作为一个较为有力的判据。
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| 关 键 词： | 历史类比法 概率预测 强震活动 |
Probabilistic Prediction of Strong Earthquakes In China By Historical Analogical Method |
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| Chen Lijun Zhou Xia.Probabilistic Prediction of Strong Earthquakes In China By Historical Analogical Method[J].Fujian Seismology,1998(1). |
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| Authors: | Chen Lijun Zhou Xia |
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| Abstract: | It is probably some strong criterion in this paper that the world strong earthquake data in 20 century has been divided into 7 activity periods and compared with the medium - strong earthquake data in same periods in China and obtained probabilistic prediction of strong erthquakes in coming 3 years in China. |
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| Keywords: | historical analogical method probabilistic prediction strong earthquakes |
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