Land related grievances shape tropical forest-cover in areas affected by armed-conflict |
| |
| Institution: | 1. Department of Civil and Environmental, Universidad De La Costa, Calle 58#55-66, Barranquilla, Atlántico 080002, Colombia;2. Department of Economics, Faculty of Social and Economic Sciences, Universidad Del Valle, Cali, Colombia;3. Institute of Environmental Science and Technology (ICTA), Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB), 08193 Bellaterra, Cerdanyola del Vallès, Barcelona, Spain;4. Department of Industrial, Agro-industrial and Operations, Universidad De La Costa, Calle 58#55-66, Barranquilla, Atlántico 080002, Colombia;5. Center for Research in Environment and Development (CIMAD), Universidad de Manizales, Carrera 9ª #19-03 B/Campo Hermoso, Manizales, Caldas 170001, Colombia;1. Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, Faculty of Science, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 10, 1350 Copenhagen, Denmark;2. Directorate of Forest and Climate Change, ONF International, Carrera 47a # 91-91, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia;3. International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Km 17 recta Cali-Palmira, Cali, Colombia;1. Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California Berkeley, 101 Sproul Hall, Berkeley, CA 94704, USA;2. Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Unter den Linden 6, 10099 Berlin, Germany;3. Department Political Economy, King''s College London, Strand Campus, London WC2R 2LS, UK;4. Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 427 Lorch Court, Madison, WI 53706, USA;5. Integrative Research Institute on Transformations of Human-Environment Systems (IRI THESys), Humboldt-University Berlin, Unter den Linden 6, 10099 Berlin, Germany |
| |
| Abstract: | Armed-conflicts often occur in tropical areas considered to be of high ‘conservation-value’, termed as such for their biodiversity or carbon-storage functions. Despite this important overlap, few studies have assessed how forest-biomass is affected by armed-conflicts. Thus, in this paper we develop a multinomial logit model to examine how outcomes of the interactions between carbon-storage, armed-conflict and deforestation rates are linked to social, institutional and economic factors. We use Colombia as a case study because of its protracted armed-conflict, high forest-cover, sustained deforestation rates and on-going peace processes. Our empirical results show that the impacts of armed-conflicts on forest-cover are connected to specific socio-economical processes, such as unequal land distribution and land-grabbing, which typically occurs as part of ‘agricultural colonization’. Findings address a research gap by providing statistically sound evidence for associations between armed-conflicts and land-related grievances, which has rarely been demonstrated empirically. Our results also suggest that forest commons are associated with reduced armed-conflict, and simultaneously provide contributions to carbon storage and to meeting basic needs. Moreover, our forest-conflict transition models provide useful visual means to capture and relay to policymakers-the causes of forest cover-changes in a conflict-affected country. Finally, our findings imply that in dedicating their efforts to resolving land-ownership disputes, the Colombian government might uphold their international climate change commitments via reducing deforestation and hence forest based carbon emissions, while pursuing their national security objective via undermining opportunities for guerrilla groups to operate. |
| |
| Keywords: | REDD+ Forest conservation Forest conflicts Armed conflicts Climate change Multinomial logit model Colombia |
| 本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录！ |
|
