| “一带一路”建设背景下重庆与东盟国家贸易格局演变和影响因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 杜瑜,宗会明.“一带一路”建设背景下重庆与东盟国家贸易格局演变和影响因素分析[J].世界地理研究,2020,29(4):697-707. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杜瑜 宗会明 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南大学地理科学学院,重庆400715;西南大学地理科学学院,重庆400715 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(41671159);重庆市教委哲社重大理论研究阐释专项课题(19SKZDZX08) |
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| 摘 要： | “贸易畅通”是“一带一路”建设的重要内容，重庆作为中国西部地区内陆开放高地，贸易发展优势明显。运用贸易强度指数和HM指数，分析2001—2017年重庆与东盟国家贸易格局和贸易依赖程度，并分析影响重庆与东盟国家贸易格局的影响因素。结果表明：①重庆与东盟国家贸易联系紧密，增长速度快，贸易总额在“一带一路”沿线六大区域中始终保持领先地位；②马来西亚和泰国成为重庆与东盟国家中最重要的贸易伙伴，越南、新加坡、菲律宾和印度尼西亚紧随其后，而与缅甸、柬埔寨、老挝和文莱的贸易总额较少；③在进口方面，形成以马来西亚、泰国和越南为首的多元进口格局，泰国和越南进口伙伴地位上升。在出口方面，形成以马来西亚为首的多元出口新格局，越南出口地位下降；④在市场相互依赖程度方面，重庆出口对东盟国家特别是马来西亚和新加坡贸易市场的重要性程度上升，而对东盟国家市场依赖程度较小；⑤产业结构、贸易通道、文化交流和政策等是影响重庆与东盟国家贸易格局的重要影响因素。
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| 关 键 词： | “一带一路” 贸易强度指数 HM指数 重庆 东盟 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019-04-26 |
| 修稿时间： | 2019-08-12 |
The evolution and influencing factors of spatial pattern of trade between Chongqing and ASEAN countries under the background of “The Belt and Road Initiative” |
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| Yu DU,Huiming ZONG.The evolution and influencing factors of spatial pattern of trade between Chongqing and ASEAN countries under the background of “The Belt and Road Initiative”[J].World Regional Studies,2020,29(4):697-707. |
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| Authors: | Yu DU Huiming ZONG |
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| Institution: | School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China |
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| Abstract: | Trade connectivity is an important indicator of trade flow under “The Belt and Road Initiative”. As the openness of inland area in western China, Chongqing has the advantages in trade connectivity. Using Trade intensity index and HM index, this paper analyzes the evolution of trade pattern, dependency level and its influencing factors between Chongqing and ASEAN countries from 2001 to 2017. The results show that: 1）Trade between Chongqing and ASEAN countries has increased rapidly and had the leading position between Chongqing and regions of “the Belt and Road” area; 2）Malaysia and Thailand have been the most important trading partners of Chongqing in ASEAN countries. The role of Vietnam, Singapore, Philippines and Indonesia increase significantly while the role of Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos and Brunei decrease; 3）In terms of import trade with Chongqing City, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam have the main import trade shares. And the role of Thailand and Vietnam have risen. In terms of export trade, Malaysia has been the most important partner while the role of Vietnam has declined; 4）In terms of trade interdependence, the importance level of Chongqing exports toward ASEAN countries has increased, especially the trade between Chongqing and Malaysia and the trade between Chongqing and Singapore, while the dependency level is low; 5）We argue that industrial structure between Chongqing and ASEAN countries , transportation corridor, cultural exchange and trade policies are the most important factors that influence the development of trade pattern between Chongqing and ASEAN countries. |
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| Keywords: | “The Belt and Road Initiative” trade intensity index HM index Chongqing ASEAN countries |
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