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中部地区农民城镇化意愿及其影响因素研究
引用本文:张荣天,李传武.中部地区农民城镇化意愿及其影响因素研究[J].世界地理研究,2020,29(1):112-119.
作者姓名:张荣天  李传武
作者单位:扬州大学苏中发展研究院,江苏扬州 225009
盐城师范学院城市与规划学院,江苏盐城 224007
基金项目:中国博士后科学基金(2017M621834);江苏高校哲学社会科学基金(2018SJA1153);安徽省城镇化发展研究中心2016年度开放课题;扬州大学科技创新培育基金(2017CXJ112);扬州大学人文社科基金(xjj2016-66)
摘    要:城镇化本质是“人”的城镇化,“人”的城镇化关键是实现由农民向市民的转化。首先,本文从理论上构建出农民城镇化意愿的二元logistic模型;其次,选取我国中部地区安徽皖南芜湖县、皖北临泉县作为典型案例地进行实证对比研究。结果表明:①总体上,典型县域农民城镇化意愿相对较强烈(75.01%);②个体特征因素、家庭因素及社会因素均对安徽典型县域农民城镇化具有十分显著影响,其中受教育程度、家庭年总收入、学龄儿童、政府就业政策及教育政策等对农民城镇化意愿产生显著正向效应;务工年限、城里社会关系等也对农民城镇化意愿产生正向影响,但显著性程度相对不高;而农民年龄、户籍社保制度对农民城镇化意愿产生显著负向影响。③最后,从增加城镇就业岗位、开展职业教育培训、深化改革社保制度及加强社区治理体系建设等方面提出促进农民城镇化发展的政策建议。

关 键 词:农民城镇化  意愿  影响因素  安徽  县域  
收稿时间:2018-09-17
修稿时间:2019-01-05

An investigation in the typical counties of Anhui
Rongtian ZHANG,Chuanwu LI.An investigation in the typical counties of Anhui[J].World Regional Studies,2020,29(1):112-119.
Authors:Rongtian ZHANG  Chuanwu LI
Institution:Research Institute of Central Jiangsu Development, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China
Institute of Urban and Planning, Yancheng Teachers College, Yancheng 224007, China
Abstract:Urbanization is the essence of human urbanization, human urbanization is to realize the transformation from farmer to citizen, and the county is the most important spatial carrier to realize the transformation from farmer to citizen and human urbanization. As a typical case, wuhu county in Anhui province and Linquan county in Anhui province in northern Anhui province were selected to analyze the influence mechanism of local urbanization in theory, and to construct the dual model of local urbanization in county by empirical comparison. The results show that:overall, the urbanization willingness of farmers in typical counties in the central region was relatively strong(75.01%). Individual characteristic factors, family factors and social factors all have a very significant impact on in situ urbanization; the education level, the total annual income of families, school-age children, government employment policies and education policies have a significant positive effect on the farmers' willingness to in situ urbanization. In addition, the length of work and the social relations in the city also have a positive impact on the farmers' willingness to in situ urbanization, but the degree of significance is relatively low; the social security system of farmer's age and household registration has a significant negative impact on the farmers' willingness to in situ urbanization.Policy suggestions are put forward to promote local urbanization in counties from such aspects as increasing employment in cities and towns, developing vocational education and training, deepening social security system and strengthening community governance system.
Keywords:farmers urbanization  willing  influence factors  Anhui  county  
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